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Serie A
Referee: Davide Massa
Fiorentina
S U S T T
1–2
Full-time
Torino
U S T T T
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fiorentina Torino
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,3
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,7
2,5
Scored
1,2
1,0
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Serie A · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,0
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 50%
0%
100%
Average goals
3,5
3,0
Scored
0,0
1,0
Conceded
3,5
2,0
Goal diff per game
-3,5
-1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

40% Possession 60%
14 Shots 7
6 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
3 Corners 5
1 Offside 0
13 Free kicks against 9
0 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Fiorentina 20. · Torino 14.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Como 3 2 1 0 +4 -1.0 7
2 Roma 2 2 0 0 +8 +5.3 6
3 Inter 2 2 0 0 +4 +3.0 6
4 Milan 2 2 0 0 +3 +2.3 6
5 Juventus 2 2 0 0 +3 +3.1 6
6 Atalanta 2 2 0 0 +2 -2.7 6
7 Lazio 2 2 0 0 +2 +0.0 6
8 Udinese 2 1 1 0 +1 -0.1 4
9 Frosinone 2 1 0 1 +2 -2.8 3
10 Napoli 2 1 0 1 +1 +0.4 3
11 Sassuolo 2 1 0 1 +0 +2.4 3
12 Cagliari 2 1 0 1 +0 -3.0 3
13 Lecce 2 1 0 1 -2 -2.0 3
14 Torino 2 0 0 2 -2 -1.5 0
15 Bologna 2 0 0 2 -2 +2.0 0
16 Parma 2 0 0 2 -3 -1.5 0
17 Monza 2 0 0 2 -4 +0.9 0
18 Venezia 2 0 0 2 -4 -2.1 0
19 Genoa 3 0 0 3 -6 -1.3 0
20 Fiorentina 2 0 0 2 -7 -1.7 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Fiorentina Torino
Cher Ndour 🔁
↦ Christ Inao Oulaï
24′
40′
🔁 Ardian Ismajli
↦ Saúl Coco
Wilfried Gnonto 🔁
↦ Franco Mastantuono
45′
Arthur Atta 🔁
↦ Marco Brescianini
45′
Half-time 1–0
1–0 Mateo Pellegrino
Radu Drăguşin
47′
56′
🔁 Nathan Patterson
↦ Niccolo Fortini
56′
🔁 Rafik Belghali
↦ Alessio Cacciamani
70′
🔁 Giovanni Simeone
↦ Gvidas Gineitis
70′
🔁 Daniel Bragança
↦ Pietro Comuzzo
74′
Rolando Mandragora 1–1
Eray Cömert
Beto 🔁
↦ Mateo Pellegrino
76′
Pedro Goncalves 🔁
↦ Alieu Njie
79′
82′
Che Adams 1–2
Rafik Belghali
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Fiorentina

4-3-3
43 David de Gea G
17 João Mário D
3 R. Drăgușin D
33 Viery D
21 Valde D
44 N. Fagioli M
42 C. Inao Oulaï M
4 M. Brescianini M
30 Franco Mastantuono F
32 Mateo Pellegrino F
25 A. Njie F
Bench (11)
6 L. Ranieri
28 Pote
5 M. Pongračić
27 C. Ndour
19 L. Lezzerini
20 Álex Jiménez
29 W. Gnonto
2 Dodô
53 O. Christensen
14 A. Atta
23 Beto

Coach: F. Grosso

Torino

3-5-2
20 Lucas Perri G
15 P. Comuzzo D
23 Saúl Coco D
5 E. Cömert D
29 N. Fortini M
66 G. Gineitis M
28 K. Fitz-Jim M
8 R. Mandragora M
77 A. Cacciamani M
10 N. Vlašić F
19 C. Adams F
Bench (15)
7 Z. Aboukhlal
45 R. Belghali
21 Daniel Bragança
91 D. Zapata
63 Manuel Carrascosa
6 E. İlkhan
44 A. Ismajli
17 S. Kulenović
79 A. Luongo
26 D. Mascardi
11 G. Oristanio
2 N. Patterson
18 G. Simeone
76 L. Siviero
3 C. Biraghi

Coach: Ignazio Abate

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,91
U
3,30
B ✓
4,31
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
1,33
U1,5
3,16
O2,5 ✓
2,09
U2,5
1,70
O3,5
3,50
U3,5 ✓
1,26
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
1,85
BLS nei
1,86

Referee

Davide Massa · 87 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,8 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.