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La Liga

Referee: José Luis Munuera Montero

Ath Bilbao

U T T T S

3–0

Full-time

Ath Madrid

S T S U S

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ath Bilbao Ath Madrid

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

17%

67%

Points per game

0,7

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

3,0

3,3

Scored

1,0

1,8

Conceded

2,0

1,5

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — La Liga · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 50%

33%

67%

Points per game

1,0

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

2,7

3,3

Scored

1,0

2,3

Conceded

1,7

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+1,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

38% Possession 62%

11 Shots 15

4 Shots on target 5

3 Blocked shots 1

5 Goalkeeper saves 1

3 Corners 8

0 Offside 2

8 Free kicks against 6

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ath Bilbao 13. · Ath Madrid 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Barcelona	3	3	0	0	+10	+9.4	9
2	Real Madrid	4	3	0	1	+7	+6.1	9
3	Betis	4	3	0	1	+0	-1.4	9
4	Ath Madrid	3	2	1	0	+4	-2.0	7
5	Alaves	3	2	1	0	+4	+2.7	7
6	Osasuna	3	2	1	0	+2	+2.9	7
7	Sevilla	3	2	0	1	+1	-0.6	6
8	La Coruna	3	1	2	0	+2	-1.7	5
9	Levante	3	1	1	1	+0	+0.2	4
10	Santander	3	1	1	1	+0	+2.0	4
11	Sociedad	4	1	1	2	-3	-1.4	4
12	Espanol	3	1	0	2	+1	-1.4	3
13	Ath Bilbao	3	1	0	2	-2	-1.1	3
14	Getafe	3	1	0	2	-3	-2.8	3
15	Villarreal	3	0	2	1	-1	+2.2	2
16	Celta	4	0	2	2	-3	-4.4	2
17	Valencia	3	0	1	2	-3	+0.3	1
18	Vallecano	3	0	1	2	-4	-3.6	1
19	Elche	3	0	1	2	-6	-3.5	1
20	Malaga	3	0	1	2	-6	-1.9	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Real Madrid	2	2	0	0	+7	+4.5	6
2	Barcelona	2	2	0	0	+5	+5.7	6
3	Alaves	2	2	0	0	+4	+1.1	6
4	Betis	2	2	0	0	+2	-0.1	6
5	Ath Madrid	2	1	1	0	+2	-2.0	4
6	La Coruna	2	1	1	0	+2	-0.9	4
7	Santander	2	1	1	0	+1	+1.9	4
8	Sociedad	2	1	1	0	+1	+1.1	4
9	Osasuna	2	1	1	0	+1	+0.4	4
10	Levante	1	1	0	0	+3	+0.8	3
11	Espanol	2	1	0	1	+2	-0.4	3
12	Getafe	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.1	3
13	Sevilla	2	1	0	1	-1	+0.3	3
14	Vallecano	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.6	1
15	Malaga	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.8	1
16	Valencia	2	0	1	1	-1	+0.3	1
17	Ath Bilbao	1	0	0	1	-2	+0.8	0
18	Celta	2	0	0	2	-3	-4.5	0
19	Elche	1	0	0	1	-5	-3.7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Barcelona	1	1	0	0	+5	+3.7	3
2	Sevilla	1	1	0	0	+2	-0.8	3
3	Ath Madrid	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.0	3
4	Osasuna	1	1	0	0	+1	+2.5	3
5	Ath Bilbao	2	1	0	1	+0	-2.0	3
6	Real Madrid	2	1	0	1	+0	+1.7	3
7	Betis	2	1	0	1	-2	-1.2	3
8	Celta	2	0	2	0	+0	+0.1	2
9	Villarreal	3	0	2	1	-1	+2.2	2
10	Alaves	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.6	1
11	La Coruna	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.8	1
12	Elche	2	0	1	1	-1	+0.2	1
13	Levante	2	0	1	1	-3	-0.7	1
14	Espanol	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.1	0
15	Santander	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.1	0
16	Valencia	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.0	0
17	Vallecano	2	0	0	2	-4	-2.0	0
18	Sociedad	2	0	0	2	-4	-2.4	0
19	Getafe	2	0	0	2	-4	-2.7	0
20	Malaga	2	0	0	2	-6	-2.7	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.