The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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London Lions
Bury Town
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Aveley
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 2 |
Quorn
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 3 |
Bradford (Park Avenue)
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 4 |
Ossett United
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 5 |
Kingstonian
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 6 |
Hanwell Town
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 7 |
Knowle
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| 8 |
Worcester City
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| 9 |
North Ferriby
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| 10 |
Barton Town Old Boys
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| 11 |
Burgess Hill Town
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| 12 |
Jersey Bulls
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| 13 |
Shepshed Dynamo
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 14 |
Curzon Ashton
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 15 |
Pontefract Collieries
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 16 |
Three Bridges
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 17 |
Flackwell Heath
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 18 |
Cheshunt
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Hertford Town
London Lions
Biggleswade
London Lions
London Lions
Arlesey Town
London Lions
Barton Rovers
FC Romania
London Lions
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.