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Ligue 1
Referee: B Bastien
St Etienne
T T T S U
0–0
Full-time
Nice
U U T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Etienne Nice
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,2
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,7
2,2
Scored
1,3
1,0
Conceded
1,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

45% Possession 55%
7 Shots 4
0 Shots on target 0
3 Blocked shots 0
6 Corners 6
1 Offside 2
10 Free kicks against 7
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match ▾
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Paris SG 34 24 4 6 +45 +40.4 76
2 Lens 34 22 4 8 +31 +23.9 70
3 Lille 34 18 7 9 +15 +18.6 61
4 Lyon 34 18 6 10 +13 +8.4 60
5 Marseille 34 18 5 11 +18 +13.8 59
6 Rennes 34 17 8 9 +9 +1.2 59
7 Monaco 34 16 6 12 +6 +7.8 54
8 Strasbourg 34 15 8 11 +11 +8.2 53
9 Lorient 34 11 12 11 -3 -1.0 45
10 Toulouse 33 12 8 13 +1 -0.1 44
11 Paris FC 34 11 11 12 -3 -10.8 44
12 Brest 34 10 9 15 -12 -6.0 39
13 Angers 34 9 9 16 -19 -23.5 36
14 Le Havre 34 7 14 13 -12 -13.0 35
15 Auxerre 34 8 10 16 -10 -12.8 34
16 Nice 34 7 11 16 -23 -15.8 32
17 Nantes 33 5 8 20 -23 -11.7 23
18 Metz 34 3 8 23 -44 -27.5 17

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

21. Dec -25 Nice – St Etienne 2–1 1. Mar -25 St Etienne – Nice 1–3 20. Sep -24 Nice – St Etienne 8–0 11. May -22 Nice – St Etienne 4–2 25. Sep -21 St Etienne – Nice 0–3

Match report

St Etienne Nice
11′
🔁 C. Vanhoutte
↦ H. Boudaoui
Luan Gadegbeku ℹ️
VAR: Penalty cancelled
36′
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 A. Abdi
↦ T. Gouveia
J. Ferreira 🔁
↦ D. Appiah
60′
Abdoulaye Kanté 🟨
63′
63′
🔁 I. Jansson
↦ S. Diop
63′
🔁 Kevin
↦ M. Cho
J. Duffus 🔁
↦ I. Cardona
67′
F. Tardieu 🔁
↦ L. Gadegbeku
79′
90′
🔁 D. Coulibaly
↦ J. Clauss
A. Moueffek 🔁
↦ Z. Davitashvili
91′
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

St Etienne

4-2-3-1
30 G. Larsonneur G
39 K. Pedro D
26 J. Le Cardinal D
6 M. Bernauer D
8 D. Appiah D
14 A. Kante M
35 L. Gadegbeku M
7 I. Cardona M
20 A. Boakye M
22 Z. Davitashvili M
9 L. Stassin F
Bench (9)
1 B. Maubleu
3 M. Nade
19 E. Annan
17 J. Duffus
10 F. Tardieu
13 J. Ferreira
29 A. Moueffek
28 I. Miladinovic
52 M. Toty

Coach: Philippe Montanier

Nice

4-2-3-1
80 Y. Diouf G
33 A. Mendy D
28 J. Bah D
37 K. Peprah D
26 M. Bard D
8 M. Sanson M
6 H. Boudaoui M
92 J. Clauss M
10 S. Diop M
47 T. Gouveia M
25 M. Cho F
Bench (9)
30 B. Zelazowski
2 A. Abdi
24 C. Vanhoutte
32 K. Boudache
21 I. Jansson
90 Kevin
55 Y. Ndayishimiye
99 S. Abdul Samed
39 D. Coulibaly

Coach: Claude Puel

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

B Bastien · 180 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.