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Serie A

Referee: Andrea Colombo

Roma

S S S S S

2–1

Full-time

Atalanta

U U S S S

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Roma Atalanta

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 75%

100%

50%

Points per game

3,0

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

67%

17%

Both score Ø 25%

17%

33%

Average goals

3,5

1,3

Scored

3,2

0,8

Conceded

0,3

0,5

Goal diff per game

+2,8

+0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Serie A · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 100%

100%

Points per game

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

100%

50%

Both score Ø 25%

50%

Average goals

4,0

2,0

Scored

4,0

1,5

Conceded

0,0

0,5

Goal diff per game

+4,0

+1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

66% Possession 34%

39 Shots 6

10 Shots on target 2

9 Blocked shots 1

1 Goalkeeper saves 9

14 Corners 1

4 Offside 4

9 Free kicks against 10

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Roma 3. · Atalanta 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Inter	3	3	0	0	+5	+3.0	9
2	Como	3	2	1	0	+4	-1.0	7
3	Roma	2	2	0	0	+8	+5.3	6
4	Milan	2	2	0	0	+3	+2.3	6
5	Juventus	2	2	0	0	+3	+3.1	6
6	Atalanta	2	2	0	0	+2	-2.7	6
7	Lazio	2	2	0	0	+2	+0.0	6
8	Udinese	2	1	1	0	+1	-0.1	4
9	Frosinone	2	1	0	1	+2	-2.8	3
10	Napoli	3	1	0	2	+0	+0.4	3
11	Sassuolo	2	1	0	1	+0	+2.4	3
12	Cagliari	2	1	0	1	+0	-3.0	3
13	Torino	3	1	0	2	-1	-1.5	3
14	Lecce	2	1	0	1	-2	-2.0	3
15	Bologna	2	0	0	2	-2	+2.0	0
16	Parma	2	0	0	2	-3	-1.5	0
17	Monza	2	0	0	2	-4	+0.9	0
18	Venezia	2	0	0	2	-4	-2.1	0
19	Genoa	3	0	0	3	-6	-1.3	0
20	Fiorentina	3	0	0	3	-8	-1.7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Inter	2	2	0	0	+4	-0.2	6
2	Atalanta	2	2	0	0	+2	-2.7	6
3	Roma	1	1	0	0	+4	+2.7	3
4	Juventus	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.3	3
5	Milan	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.4	3
6	Sassuolo	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.6	3
7	Lazio	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.2	3
8	Udinese	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.6	1
9	Monza	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.7	0
10	Napoli	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.3	0
11	Torino	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.9	0
12	Parma	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.2	0
13	Cagliari	1	0	0	1	-1	-3.2	0
14	Bologna	1	0	0	1	-1	+1.1	0
15	Frosinone	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.8	0
16	Venezia	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.7	0
17	Fiorentina	2	0	0	2	-4	+1.0	0
18	Lecce	1	0	0	1	-4	-2.6	0
19	Genoa	2	0	0	2	-5	-0.1	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Como	3	2	1	0	+4	-1.0	7
2	Roma	1	1	0	0	+4	+2.6	3
3	Frosinone	1	1	0	0	+3	-1.0	3
4	Lecce	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.7	3
5	Napoli	2	1	0	1	+1	+0.1	3
6	Udinese	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.7	3
7	Milan	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.9	3
8	Cagliari	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.2	3
9	Inter	1	1	0	0	+1	+3.2	3
10	Lazio	1	1	0	0	+1	-1.1	3
11	Juventus	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.8	3
12	Torino	2	1	0	1	+0	-0.6	3
13	Sassuolo	1	0	0	1	-1	+1.8	0
14	Genoa	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.2	0
15	Bologna	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.9	0
16	Parma	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.3	0
17	Venezia	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.4	0
18	Monza	1	0	0	1	-3	+0.2	0
19	Fiorentina	1	0	0	1	-4	-2.7	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.