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Super League

Referee: F San

Young Boys

S U S U S

3–3

Full-time

Luzern

T U S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Young Boys Luzern

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,3

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 84%

100%

67%

Both score Ø 75%

83%

67%

Average goals

5,7

2,8

Scored

3,8

1,2

Conceded

1,8

1,7

Goal diff per game

+2,0

-0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Super League · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,3

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 84%

100%

67%

Both score Ø 75%

83%

67%

Average goals

5,7

2,8

Scored

3,8

1,2

Conceded

1,8

1,7

Goal diff per game

+2,0

-0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

3,18 xG 2,19

54% Possession 46%

28 Shots 17

10 Shots on target 7

8 Blocked shots 2

4 Goalkeeper saves 7

8 Corners 2

1 Offside 1

12 Free kicks against 14

4 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Young Boys 2. · Luzern 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Lugano	5	5	0	0	+11	+1.1	15
2	Young Boys	6	4	2	0	+12	+4.5	14
3	Basel	6	3	1	2	+2	+0.8	10
4	Sion	5	3	0	2	+2	+3.9	9
5	Luzern	6	2	2	2	-3	-1.8	8
6	St. Gallen	5	2	1	2	-1	+3.8	7
7	Thun	5	2	1	2	-5	-5.0	7
8	Lausanne	6	1	3	2	-1	-2.2	6
9	Zurich	6	2	0	4	-7	-1.6	6
10	Servette	5	1	1	3	-2	+1.5	4
11	Grasshoppers	5	1	1	3	-5	-0.3	4
12	Vaduz	6	1	0	5	-3	-4.7	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Lugano	3	3	0	0	+7	+2.0	9
2	Young Boys	3	2	1	0	+4	+2.5	7
3	Sion	3	2	0	1	+3	+4.5	6
4	Luzern	3	2	0	1	+0	+2.9	6
5	St. Gallen	3	1	1	1	+0	+4.0	4
6	Servette	3	1	1	1	+0	+0.9	4
7	Vaduz	2	1	0	1	+2	-0.8	3
8	Basel	3	1	0	2	+0	+0.2	3
9	Grasshoppers	2	1	0	1	-1	+0.1	3
10	Zurich	3	1	0	2	-2	-0.2	3
11	Lausanne	3	0	2	1	-1	-0.1	2
12	Thun	2	0	1	1	-6	-2.1	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Young Boys	3	2	1	0	+8	+2.0	7
2	Basel	3	2	1	0	+2	+0.6	7
3	Lugano	2	2	0	0	+4	-0.9	6
4	Thun	3	2	0	1	+1	-2.9	6
5	Lausanne	3	1	1	1	+0	-2.1	4
6	Sion	2	1	0	1	-1	-0.6	3
7	St. Gallen	2	1	0	1	-1	-0.3	3
8	Zurich	3	1	0	2	-5	-1.4	3
9	Luzern	3	0	2	1	-3	-4.7	2
10	Grasshoppers	3	0	1	2	-4	-0.5	1
11	Servette	2	0	0	2	-2	+0.6	0
12	Vaduz	4	0	0	4	-5	-3.9	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.