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Ligue 2
Referee: M Leleu
Le Mans
S S S S U
1–0
Full-time
Clermont
T T T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Le Mans Clermont
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
67%
17%
Points per game
2,3
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
3,3
2,7
Scored
2,5
1,2
Conceded
0,8
1,5
Goal diff per game
+1,7
-0,3
This season — Ligue 2 · 30/30 matches
Win Ø 35%
47%
23%
Points per game
1,8
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 45%
40%
50%
Both score Ø 55%
50%
60%
Average goals
2,5
2,5
Scored
1,5
1,1
Conceded
1,0
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

58% Possession 42%
13 Shots 10
6 Shots on target 1
6 Blocked shots 4
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
6 Corners 4
3 Offside 1
24 Free kicks against 8
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Le Mans 3. · Clermont 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Troyes 30 17 7 6 +20 58
2 St Etienne 30 17 6 7 +22 57
3 Le Mans 30 14 12 4 +16 54
4 Reims 30 12 12 6 +15 48
5 Red Star 29 13 9 7 +6 48
6 Rodez 30 12 12 6 +3 48
7 Montpellier 30 12 8 10 +8 44
8 Annecy 30 12 7 11 +2 43
9 Pau FC 30 11 9 10 -7 42
10 Dunkerque 30 10 10 10 +8 40
11 Guingamp 30 10 10 10 -3 40
12 Boulogne 30 9 9 12 -8 36
13 Grenoble 30 6 14 10 -7 32
14 Clermont 30 7 9 14 -7 30
15 Nancy 30 7 9 14 -16 30
16 Laval 30 4 13 13 -17 25
17 Amiens 30 6 6 18 -18 24
18 Bastia 29 3 12 14 -17 21

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Le Mans Clermont
4′
🟨 El Hadj Koné
Half-time 1–0
1–0 D. Gueye
A. Bourabaa
57′
64′
🔁 H. Saivet
↦ J. Gastien
64′
🔁 A. Camblan
↦ E. H. Kone
E. Quarshie 🔁
↦ A. Bourabaa
68′
E. Colas 🔁
↦ D. Gueye
68′
73′
🔁 M. Douane
↦ I. Fakili
73′
🔁 E. Cantero
↦ K. Bamba
W. Harhouz 🔁
↦ A. Rabillard
76′
A. Lauray 🔁
↦ M. Robin
76′
Noa Boissé 🟨
81′
T. Eyoum 🔁
↦ N. Boisse
84′
85′
🔁 A. Hunou
↦ I. Coulibaly
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Le Mans

3-1-4-2
98 N. Kocik G
31 N. Boisse D
17 S. Yohou D
5 H. Voyer D
29 L. Bretelle
18 L. Buades M
24 M. Robin M
11 A. Bourabaa M
22 L. Calodat M
9 A. Rabillard F
25 D. Gueye F
Bench (7)
1 E. Hatfout
12 A. Ribelin
21 T. Eyoum
20 W. Harhouz
6 E. Quarshie
8 A. Lauray
28 E. Colas

Coach: Patrick Videira

Clermont

5-4-1
30 T. Guivarch G
93 I. Coulibaly D
5 M. Caufriez D
4 S. Sow D
21 Y. Salmier D
38 E. H. Kone D
29 I. Fakili M
2 A. Baallal M
25 J. Gastien M
32 K. Bamba M
18 F. Diedhiou F
Bench (7)
16 M. N'Diaye
10 H. Saivet
11 M. Douane
77 E. Cantero
23 A. Hunou
7 A. Camblan
28 I. M'Bahia

Coach: Gregory Proment

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,64
U
3,72
B
4,79
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,78
U2,5 ✓
1,94
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

M Leleu · 59 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
27,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.