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Serie A

Referee: D Orsato

Bologna

T U T U U

2–1

Full-time

Fiorentina

U U T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bologna Fiorentina

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 9%

17%

Points per game

1,0

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 17%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

2,3

0,8

Scored

1,0

0,3

Conceded

1,3

0,5

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-0,2

This season — Serie A · 5/5 matches

Win Ø 10%

20%

Points per game

0,6

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 30%

40%

20%

Both score Ø 60%

80%

40%

Average goals

2,6

1,6

Scored

1,0

0,8

Conceded

1,6

0,8

Goal diff per game

-0,6

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

39% Possession 61%

12 Shots 13

4 Shots on target 2

3 Blocked shots 4

1 Goalkeeper saves 2

6 Corners 8

3 Offside 0

8 Free kicks against 13

1 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Bologna 16. · Fiorentina 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Napoli	6	4	2	0	+9	14
2	Atalanta	6	4	2	0	+7	14
3	Milan	6	4	2	0	+6	14
4	Inter	6	4	0	2	+4	12
5	Udinese	5	3	1	1	+4	10
6	Roma	5	3	1	1	+1	10
7	Torino	6	3	1	2	+0	10
8	Juventus	5	2	3	0	+5	9
9	Lazio	5	2	2	1	+2	8
10	Salernitana	5	1	3	1	+3	6
11	Fiorentina	5	1	3	1	+0	6
12	Sassuolo	5	1	3	1	-2	6
13	Verona	5	1	2	2	-3	5
14	Spezia	6	1	2	3	-5	5
15	Empoli	5	0	4	1	-1	4
16	Bologna	5	0	3	2	-3	3
17	Lecce	5	0	2	3	-3	2
18	Cremonese	6	0	2	4	-5	2
19	Sampdoria	6	0	2	4	-8	2
20	Monza	5	0	0	5	-11	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Inter	3	3	0	0	+6	9
2	Milan	3	3	0	0	+5	9
3	Juventus	3	2	1	0	+5	7
4	Napoli	3	2	1	0	+5	7
5	Udinese	3	2	1	0	+5	7
6	Roma	2	2	0	0	+4	6
7	Lazio	3	2	0	1	+2	6
8	Atalanta	3	1	2	0	+2	5
9	Spezia	3	1	2	0	+1	5
10	Fiorentina	3	1	2	0	+1	5
11	Salernitana	3	1	1	1	+3	4
12	Torino	2	1	1	0	+1	4
13	Sassuolo	2	1	1	0	+1	4
14	Verona	3	1	0	2	-3	3
15	Bologna	2	0	2	0	+0	2
16	Empoli	2	0	2	0	+0	2
17	Sampdoria	4	0	2	2	-3	2
18	Lecce	2	0	1	1	-1	1
19	Cremonese	2	0	1	1	-1	1
20	Monza	3	0	0	3	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Atalanta	3	3	0	0	+5	9
2	Napoli	3	2	1	0	+4	7
3	Torino	4	2	0	2	-1	6
4	Milan	3	1	2	0	+1	5
5	Roma	3	1	1	1	-3	4
6	Udinese	2	1	0	1	-1	3
7	Inter	3	1	0	2	-2	3
8	Verona	2	0	2	0	+0	2
9	Juventus	2	0	2	0	+0	2
10	Salernitana	2	0	2	0	+0	2
11	Lazio	2	0	2	0	+0	2
12	Empoli	3	0	2	1	-1	2
13	Sassuolo	3	0	2	1	-3	2
14	Fiorentina	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Lecce	3	0	1	2	-2	1
16	Bologna	3	0	1	2	-3	1
17	Cremonese	4	0	1	3	-4	1
18	Sampdoria	2	0	0	2	-5	0
19	Spezia	3	0	0	3	-6	0
20	Monza	2	0	0	2	-7	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.