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Serie A

Referee: Paolo Valeri

Empoli

T T S S U

2–1

Full-time

Bologna

U T U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Empoli Bologna

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

1,3

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 92%

100%

83%

Both score Ø 92%

100%

83%

Average goals

4,5

3,3

Scored

2,0

1,3

Conceded

2,5

2,0

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-0,7

This season — Serie A · 14/14 matches

Win Ø 18%

21%

14%

Points per game

0,9

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 54%

57%

50%

Both score Ø 54%

64%

43%

Average goals

3,0

2,4

Scored

1,2

0,9

Conceded

1,8

1,6

Goal diff per game

-0,6

-0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

41% Possession 59%

12 Shots 22

4 Shots on target 8

3 Blocked shots 6

6 Goalkeeper saves 2

4 Corners 8

1 Offside 3

6 Free kicks against 8

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Empoli 17. · Bologna 18. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	15	14	1	0	+24	43
2	Napoli	15	11	2	2	+18	35
3	Inter	15	9	2	4	+14	29
4	Milan	14	7	4	3	+6	25
5	Lazio	15	7	4	4	+4	25
6	Roma	15	5	6	4	+6	21
7	Torino	14	5	6	3	+3	21
8	Sassuolo	15	5	6	4	+2	21
9	Sampdoria	15	5	5	5	+4	20
10	Parma	14	6	2	6	-3	20
11	Fiorentina	15	4	7	4	+5	19
12	Atalanta	14	5	3	6	+7	18
13	Cagliari	15	3	8	4	-4	17
14	Genoa	14	4	3	7	-10	15
15	Spal	14	4	2	8	-10	14
16	Udinese	14	3	4	7	-6	13
17	Empoli	14	3	4	7	-8	13
18	Bologna	14	2	5	7	-10	11
19	Frosinone	15	1	5	9	-22	8
20	Chievo	14	0	5	9	-20	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	8	7	1	0	+12	22
2	Napoli	8	6	2	0	+15	20
3	Inter	7	5	1	1	+11	16
4	Milan	7	5	1	1	+4	16
5	Fiorentina	7	4	2	1	+8	14
6	Lazio	8	4	2	2	+4	14
7	Sassuolo	8	3	4	1	+2	13
8	Roma	7	3	3	1	+7	12
9	Sampdoria	7	3	2	2	+3	11
10	Cagliari	7	2	5	0	+3	11
11	Genoa	7	3	2	2	+1	11
12	Parma	7	3	2	2	+1	11
13	Atalanta	7	3	1	3	+7	10
14	Empoli	7	3	1	3	+0	10
15	Torino	7	3	1	3	-1	10
16	Bologna	7	2	2	3	-2	8
17	Spal	7	2	2	3	-3	8
18	Udinese	7	2	1	4	-5	7
19	Frosinone	7	0	4	3	-8	4
20	Chievo	8	0	3	5	-10	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	7	7	0	0	+12	21
2	Napoli	7	5	0	2	+3	15
3	Inter	8	4	1	3	+3	13
4	Torino	7	2	5	0	+4	11
5	Lazio	7	3	2	2	+0	11
6	Milan	7	2	3	2	+2	9
7	Sampdoria	8	2	3	3	+1	9
8	Roma	8	2	3	3	-1	9
9	Parma	7	3	0	4	-4	9
10	Atalanta	7	2	2	3	+0	8
11	Sassuolo	7	2	2	3	+0	8
12	Udinese	7	1	3	3	-1	6
13	Cagliari	8	1	3	4	-7	6
14	Spal	7	2	0	5	-7	6
15	Fiorentina	8	0	5	3	-3	5
16	Genoa	7	1	1	5	-11	4
17	Frosinone	8	1	1	6	-14	4
18	Empoli	7	0	3	4	-8	3
19	Bologna	7	0	3	4	-8	3
20	Chievo	6	0	2	4	-10	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.