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Serie A
Referee: M Marchetti
Empoli
T U S T T
0–0
Full-time
Fiorentina
S T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Empoli Fiorentina
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
0,7
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,8
3,0
Scored
1,0
1,7
Conceded
1,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,3
This season — Serie A · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
0%
100%
Points per game
0,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
0%
100%
Both score Ø 50%
0%
100%
Average goals
1,0
5,0
Scored
0,0
3,0
Conceded
1,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

37% Possession 63%
4 Shots 19
2 Shots on target 2
0 Blocked shots 8
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
1 Corners 9
1 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 11
1 Yellow cards 3
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Empoli 17. · Fiorentina 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Inter 2 2 0 0 +4 6
2 Lazio 2 1 1 0 +1 4
3 Torino 2 1 1 0 +1 4
4 Napoli 1 1 0 0 +3 3
5 Juventus 1 1 0 0 +3 3
6 Milan 1 1 0 0 +2 3
7 Atalanta 1 1 0 0 +2 3
8 Fiorentina 1 1 0 0 +1 3
9 Roma 1 1 0 0 +1 3
10 Sassuolo 2 1 0 1 -2 3
11 Spezia 2 1 0 1 -2 3
12 Salernitana 2 0 1 1 -1 1
13 Udinese 2 0 1 1 -2 1
14 Cremonese 1 0 0 1 -1 0
15 Bologna 1 0 0 1 -1 0
16 Monza 1 0 0 1 -1 0
17 Empoli 1 0 0 1 -1 0
18 Lecce 2 0 0 2 -2 0
19 Sampdoria 1 0 0 1 -2 0
20 Verona 1 0 0 1 -3 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Empoli Fiorentina
Filippo Bandinelli 🟨
32′
37′
🟨 Jonathan Ikoné
39′
🟨 Youssef Maleh
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 R. Sottil
↦ R. Saponara
46′
🔁 A. Duncan
↦ Y. Maleh
N. Cambiaghi 🔁
↦ S. Lammers
63′
N. Haas 🔁
↦ F. Bandinelli
63′
Sebastiano Luperto 🟥
66′
Sebastiano Luperto ℹ️
VAR: Card upgrade
66′
M. Satriano 🔁
↦ N. Bajrami
67′
K. De Winter 🔁
↦ M. Destro
68′
73′
🟨 Riccardo Sottil
76′
🔁 N. González
↦ J. Ikoné
A. Grassi 🔁
↦ L. Henderson
86′
86′
🔁 C. Biraghi
↦ A. Terzić
87′
🔁 Arthur Cabral
↦ L. Jović
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Empoli

4-3-1-2
13 G. Vicario G
30 P. Stojanović D
34 A. Ismajli D
33 S. Luperto D
65 F. Parisi D
8 L. Henderson M
18 R. Marin M
25 F. Bandinelli M
10 N. Bajrami M
7 S. Lammers F
23 M. Destro F
Bench (14)
28 N. Cambiaghi
32 N. Haas
9 M. Satriano
6 K. De Winter
5 A. Grassi
21 J. Fazzini
15 G. Crociata
31 G. Fantoni
35 T. Baldanzi
20 D. Degli Innocenti
3 L. Cacace
36 G. Guarino
1 S. Perisan
17 E. Ekong

Coach: P. Zanetti

Fiorentina

4-3-3
95 P. Gollini G
2 Dodô D
4 N. Milenković D
28 L. Martínez D
15 A. Terzić D
5 G. Bonaventura M
38 R. Mandragora M
14 Y. Maleh M
11 J. Ikoné F
7 L. Jović F
8 R. Saponara F
Bench (14)
33 R. Sottil
32 A. Duncan
22 N. González
3 C. Biraghi
9 Arthur Cabral
42 A. Bianco
24 M. Benassi
34 S. Amrabat
16 L. Ranieri
23 L. Venuti
31 M. Cerofolini
1 P. Terracciano
55 M. Nastasić
99 C. Kouamé

Coach: V. Italiano

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,73
U ✓
3,83
B
1,94
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,66
U2,5 ✓
2,23
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

M Marchetti · 77 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
27,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.