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La Liga
Referee: Juan Martínez
Ath Bilbao
S T U S S
0–1
Full-time
Espanol
U U U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ath Bilbao Espanol
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
1,7
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
17%
50%
Both score Ø 34%
0%
67%
Average goals
1,5
2,5
Scored
1,2
0,8
Conceded
0,3
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-0,8
This season — La Liga · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 34%
67%
0%
Points per game
2,3
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 34%
0%
67%
Average goals
1,7
3,3
Scored
1,7
1,0
Conceded
0,0
2,3
Goal diff per game
+1,7
-1,3
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

67% Possession 33%
17 Shots 9
2 Shots on target 2
4 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 2
3 Offside 2
12 Free kicks against 12
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ath Bilbao 5. · Espanol 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Real Madrid 4 4 0 0 +7 12
2 Barcelona 4 3 1 0 +10 10
3 Betis 4 3 0 1 +4 9
4 Osasuna 4 3 0 1 +3 9
5 Ath Bilbao 3 2 1 0 +5 7
6 Villarreal 3 2 1 0 +5 7
7 Ath Madrid 4 2 1 1 +2 7
8 Celta 4 2 1 1 +1 7
9 Sociedad 4 2 1 1 -1 7
10 Mallorca 4 1 2 1 +1 5
11 Girona 4 1 1 2 +0 4
12 Almeria 3 1 1 1 +0 4
13 Vallecano 4 1 1 2 -1 4
14 Valencia 3 1 0 2 -1 3
15 Espanol 3 0 1 2 -4 1
16 Elche 3 0 1 2 -4 1
17 Sevilla 4 0 1 3 -5 1
18 Getafe 3 0 1 2 -5 1
19 Valladolid 3 0 1 2 -7 1
20 Cadiz 4 0 0 4 -10 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ath Bilbao Espanol
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 K. Bare
↦ Edu Expósito
48′
🟨 Leandro Cabrera
Oihan Sancet 🟨
54′
Gorka Guruzeta 🔁
↦ Nico Williams
56′
60′
🔁 Simo
↦ K. Bare
70′
🔁 O. El Hilali
↦ Fernando Calero
Raúl García 🔁
↦ Iñaki Williams
71′
Unai Vencedor 🔁
↦ Oihan Sancet
71′
71′
🔁 José Carlos Lazo
↦ Javi Puado
83′
M. Braithwaite 0–1
Jon Morcillo 🔁
↦ Lekue
84′
86′
🔁 Dani Gómez
↦ M. Braithwaite
Óscar de Marcos 🟨
90′
91′
🟨 Dani Gómez
Unai Vencedor 🟨
93′
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Ath Bilbao

4-2-3-1
1 Unai Simón G
18 De Marcos D
3 Dani Vivian D
5 Yeray D
15 Lekue D
8 Oihan Sancet M
6 Mikel Vesga M
11 Nico Williams M
10 Muniain M
7 Álex Berenguer M
9 Iñaki Williams F
Bench (12)
12 Gorka Guruzeta
22 Raúl García
16 Unai Vencedor
2 Jon Morcillo
19 Oier Zarraga
21 Capa
13 Julen Agirrezabala
31 Aitor Paredes
23 Ander Herrera
14 Dani García
20 Asier Villalibre
4 Íñigo Martínez

Coach: Ernesto Valverde

Espanol

4-3-3
25 Álvaro Fernández G
2 Óscar Gil D
5 Fernando Calero D
4 L. Cabrera D
14 Brian Oliván D
12 Vinicius Souza M
20 Edu Expósito M
10 Darder M
7 Javi Puado F
9 Joselu F
17 M. Braithwaite F
Bench (9)
8 K. Bare
28 Simo
26 O. El Hilali
16 José Carlos Lazo
19 Dani Gómez
34 Ángel Fortuño
31 Dani Villahermosa
1 Joan García
21 Nico Melamed

Coach: Diego Martínez

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,57
U
3,98
B ✓
6,46
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,06
U2,5 ✓
1,78
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Juan Martínez · 102 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
27,0 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.