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Bundesliga
Referee: D Schlager
Bayern Munich
U U S S S
1–1
Full-time
M'gladbach
S S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bayern Munich M'gladbach
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,8
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
4,7
4,5
Scored
3,3
3,5
Conceded
1,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
+2,0
+2,5
This season — Bundesliga · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 84%
100%
67%
Points per game
3,0
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
5,3
3,0
Scored
5,0
2,0
Conceded
0,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
+4,7
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

69% Possession 31%
35 Shots 5
20 Shots on target 3
6 Blocked shots 0
2 Goalkeeper saves 19
14 Corners 1
7 Offside 0
14 Free kicks against 7
4 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Bayern Munich 2. · M'gladbach 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Union Berlin 4 3 1 0 +8 10
2 Bayern Munich 3 3 0 0 +14 9
3 Freiburg 4 3 0 1 +4 9
4 Hoffenheim 4 3 0 1 +3 9
5 Dortmund 4 3 0 1 +3 9
6 M'gladbach 3 2 1 0 +3 7
7 Mainz 4 2 1 1 -1 7
8 FC Koln 3 1 2 0 +2 5
9 Werder Bremen 3 1 2 0 +1 5
10 RB Leipzig 4 1 2 1 +1 5
11 Leverkusen 4 1 0 3 -2 3
12 Augsburg 4 1 0 3 -5 3
13 Stuttgart 3 0 2 1 -1 2
14 Wolfsburg 4 0 2 2 -4 2
15 Ein Frankfurt 3 0 2 1 -5 2
16 Schalke 04 4 0 2 2 -7 2
17 Hertha 4 0 1 3 -4 1
18 Bochum 4 0 0 4 -10 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Bayern Munich M'gladbach
Sadio Mané ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
36′
37′
🟨 Alassane Pléa
43′
M. Thuram 0–1
Half-time 0–1
52′
🔁 H. Wolf
↦ A. Pléa
Joshua Kimmich 🟨
62′
Marcel Sabitzer 🟨
63′
J. Musiala 🔁
↦ M. Sabitzer
67′
S. Gnabry 🔁
↦ S. Mané
68′
77′
🔁 M. Friedrich
↦ F. Neuhaus
Leroy Sané 🟨
80′
1–1 L. Sané
J. Musiala
83′
M. de Ligt 🔁
↦ L. Sané
85′
85′
🔁 P. Herrmann
↦ J. Hofmann
85′
🔁 T. Jantschke
↦ M. Koné
Benjamin Pavard 🟨
95′
95′
🟨 Christoph Kramer
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Bayern Munich

4-2-2-2
1 M. Neuer G
5 B. Pavard D
2 D. Upamecano D
21 L. Hernández D
19 A. Davies D
6 J. Kimmich M
18 M. Sabitzer M
11 K. Coman M
10 L. Sané M
25 T. Müller F
17 S. Mané F
Bench (9)
42 J. Musiala
7 S. Gnabry
4 M. de Ligt
38 R. Gravenberch
39 M. Tel
20 B. Sarr
44 J. Stanišić
26 S. Ulreich
40 N. Mazraoui

Coach: J. Nagelsmann

M'gladbach

4-2-3-1
1 Y. Sommer G
29 J. Scally D
3 K. Itakura D
30 N. Elvedi D
20 L. Netz D
6 C. Kramer M
17 M. Koné M
23 J. Hofmann M
32 F. Neuhaus M
14 A. Pléa M
10 M. Thuram F
Bench (9)
11 H. Wolf
5 M. Friedrich
7 P. Herrmann
24 T. Jantschke
13 L. Stindl
15 J. Beyer
27 R. Reitz
21 T. Sippel
38 Y. Borges Sanches

Coach: D. Farke

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,19
U ✓
8,16
B
12,66
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,20
U2,5 ✓
4,65
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

D Schlager · 124 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.