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Bundesliga
Referee: T Stieler
M'gladbach
S S T S S
3–1
Full-time
Werder Bremen
U U U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

M'gladbach Werder Bremen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
83%
0%
Points per game
2,5
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 83%
83%
83%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
3,7
3,5
Scored
2,7
1,5
Conceded
1,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
+1,7
-0,5
This season — Bundesliga · 10/10 matches
Win Ø 45%
70%
20%
Points per game
2,2
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 80%
70%
90%
Both score Ø 75%
60%
90%
Average goals
3,1
3,8
Scored
2,1
1,7
Conceded
1,0
2,1
Goal diff per game
+1,1
-0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

54% Possession 46%
17 Shots 16
7 Shots on target 7
4 Blocked shots 4
6 Goalkeeper saves 4
3 Corners 8
4 Offside 0
17 Free kicks against 11
5 Yellow cards 4
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match M'gladbach 1. · Werder Bremen 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 M'gladbach 10 7 1 2 +11 22
2 RB Leipzig 11 6 3 2 +17 21
3 Bayern Munich 11 6 3 2 +13 21
4 Hoffenheim 11 6 2 3 +2 20
5 Dortmund 11 5 4 2 +8 19
6 Schalke 04 11 5 4 2 +6 19
7 Freiburg 10 5 3 2 +7 18
8 Ein Frankfurt 10 5 2 3 +6 17
9 Wolfsburg 10 4 5 1 +3 17
10 Leverkusen 10 4 3 3 +0 15
11 Union Berlin 11 4 1 6 -4 13
12 Hertha 11 3 2 6 -4 11
13 Werder Bremen 10 2 5 3 -4 11
14 Fortuna Dusseldorf 11 3 2 6 -4 11
15 Augsburg 11 2 4 5 -11 10
16 Mainz 11 3 0 8 -18 9
17 FC Koln 11 2 1 8 -13 7
18 Paderborn 11 1 1 9 -15 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

M'gladbach Werder Bremen
Nico Elvedi 🟨
14′
1–0 R. Bensebaini
L. Bénes
20′
2–0 P. Herrmann
M. Thuram
22′
Stefan Lainer 🟨
25′
J. Hofmann 🔁
↦ C. Kramer
34′
38′
🟨 Miloš Veljković
Half-time 2–0
Ramy Bensebaini 🟨
52′
56′
🟨 Nuri Şahin
F. Neuhaus 🔁
↦ L. Bénes
59′
3–0 P. Herrmann
D. Zakaria
59′
Patrick Herrmann 🟨
70′
73′
🔁 B. Goller
↦ N. Şahin
75′
🟨 Davy Klaassen
81′
🟨 Marco Friedl
L. Stindl 🔁
↦ A. Pléa
81′
81′
🔁 J. Sargent
↦ M. Friedl
Ramy Bensebaini 🟨
87′
Ramy Bensebaini 🟥
87′
93′
L. Bittencourt 3–1
M. Rashica
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

M'gladbach

4-3-3
1 Y. Sommer G
18 S. Lainer D
28 M. Ginter D
30 N. Elvedi D
25 R. Bensebaini D
6 C. Kramer M
22 L. Bénes M
8 D. Zakaria M
7 P. Herrmann F
14 A. Pléa F
10 M. Thuram F
Bench (9)
23 J. Hofmann
32 F. Neuhaus
13 L. Stindl
17 O. Wendt
15 L. Beyer
31 M. Grün
11 Raffael
5 T. Strobl
16 I. Traoré

Coach: M. Rose

Werder Bremen

4-4-2
1 J. Pavlenka G
15 S. Langkamp D
23 T. Gebre Selassie D
13 M. Veljkovic D
32 M. Friedl D
17 N. Şahin M
30 D. Klaassen M
10 L. Bittencourt M
7 M. Rashica F
35 M. Eggestein M
8 Y. Ōsako F
Bench (9)
39 B. Goller
19 J. Sargent
21 Ö. Toprak
36 C. Groß
44 P. Bargfrede
4 M. Lang
14 C. Pizarro
27 S. Kapino
24 J. Eggestein

Coach: F. Kohfeldt

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,73
U
4,12
B
4,35
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,50
U2,5
2,56
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

T Stieler · 148 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.