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Bundesliga

Referee: M Petersen

M'gladbach

U T S S U

1–0

Full-time

Werder Bremen

T S T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

M'gladbach Werder Bremen

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,5

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

67%

17%

Both score Ø 58%

83%

33%

Average goals

3,5

2,0

Scored

1,8

0,8

Conceded

1,7

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,3

This season — Bundesliga · 16/16 matches

Win Ø 32%

38%

25%

Points per game

1,6

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 47%

63%

31%

Both score Ø 75%

81%

69%

Average goals

3,5

2,7

Scored

1,9

1,2

Conceded

1,6

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

59% Possession 41%

11 Shots 11

6 Shots on target 2

2 Blocked shots 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 5

7 Corners 5

3 Offside 1

15 Free kicks against 11

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match M'gladbach 8. · Werder Bremen 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	16	11	3	2	+23	36
2	RB Leipzig	16	9	5	2	+14	32
3	Leverkusen	16	8	5	3	+14	29
4	Dortmund	16	9	2	5	+12	29
5	Union Berlin	16	7	7	2	+12	28
6	Wolfsburg	16	6	8	2	+5	26
7	Ein Frankfurt	16	6	8	2	+4	26
8	M'gladbach	16	6	7	3	+4	25
9	Freiburg	16	6	5	5	+3	23
10	Stuttgart	16	5	7	4	+8	22
11	Augsburg	16	5	4	7	-8	19
12	Werder Bremen	16	4	6	6	-5	18
13	Hertha	16	4	5	7	-2	17
14	Hoffenheim	16	4	4	8	-8	16
15	Bielefeld	16	4	2	10	-14	14
16	FC Koln	16	2	6	8	-14	12
17	Mainz	16	1	4	11	-19	7
18	Schalke 04	16	1	4	11	-29	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	8	6	2	0	+19	20
2	RB Leipzig	8	6	1	1	+11	19
3	Wolfsburg	8	5	3	0	+6	18
4	Union Berlin	9	4	4	1	+9	16
5	Ein Frankfurt	8	3	5	0	+4	14
6	Dortmund	8	4	1	3	+6	13
7	M'gladbach	8	3	4	1	+4	13
8	Freiburg	8	3	3	2	+6	12
9	Leverkusen	7	3	3	1	+5	12
10	Bielefeld	8	3	0	5	-5	9
11	Hoffenheim	8	2	2	4	-1	8
12	Hertha	7	2	2	3	-2	8
13	Werder Bremen	8	2	2	4	-4	8
14	Augsburg	8	2	2	4	-6	8
15	Stuttgart	8	0	5	3	-4	5
16	Schalke 04	8	1	2	5	-6	5
17	FC Koln	9	0	3	6	-10	3
18	Mainz	8	0	2	6	-9	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Stuttgart	8	5	2	1	+12	17
2	Leverkusen	9	5	2	2	+9	17
3	Dortmund	8	5	1	2	+6	16
4	Bayern Munich	8	5	1	2	+4	16
5	RB Leipzig	8	3	4	1	+3	13
6	Union Berlin	7	3	3	1	+3	12
7	M'gladbach	8	3	3	2	+0	12
8	Ein Frankfurt	8	3	3	2	+0	12
9	Augsburg	8	3	2	3	-2	11
10	Freiburg	8	3	2	3	-3	11
11	Werder Bremen	8	2	4	2	-1	10
12	Hertha	9	2	3	4	+0	9
13	FC Koln	7	2	3	2	-4	9
14	Wolfsburg	8	1	5	2	-1	8
15	Hoffenheim	8	2	2	4	-7	8
16	Bielefeld	8	1	2	5	-9	5
17	Mainz	8	1	2	5	-10	5
18	Schalke 04	8	0	2	6	-23	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.