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Bundesliga

Referee: Daniel Schlager

M'gladbach

T T S U T

1–1

Full-time

Werder Bremen

U U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

M'gladbach Werder Bremen

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

0,8

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 84%

67%

100%

Average goals

3,0

3,3

Scored

0,8

2,2

Conceded

2,2

1,2

Goal diff per game

-1,3

+1,0

This season — Bundesliga · 27/27 matches

Win Ø 47%

52%

41%

Points per game

1,7

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

59%

Both score Ø 67%

48%

85%

Average goals

3,0

3,3

Scored

1,7

1,8

Conceded

1,3

1,4

Goal diff per game

+0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

52% Possession 48%

15 Shots 12

3 Shots on target 6

0 Blocked shots 3

5 Goalkeeper saves 2

7 Corners 1

2 Offside 1

7 Free kicks against 6

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match M'gladbach 5. · Werder Bremen 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	28	20	4	4	+46	64
2	Dortmund	28	19	6	3	+31	63
3	RB Leipzig	28	16	7	5	+31	55
4	Ein Frankfurt	28	15	7	6	+25	52
5	M'gladbach	27	14	5	8	+12	47
6	Wolfsburg	28	13	6	9	+5	45
7	Hoffenheim	28	11	11	6	+19	44
8	Werder Bremen	27	11	9	7	+10	42
9	Leverkusen	28	13	3	12	+2	42
10	Fortuna Dusseldorf	28	11	4	13	-14	37
11	Hertha	28	9	8	11	-5	35
12	Mainz	28	9	6	13	-15	33
13	Freiburg	28	7	11	10	-10	32
14	Schalke 04	28	7	5	16	-17	26
15	Augsburg	28	6	7	15	-17	25
16	Stuttgart	28	5	6	17	-33	21
17	Nurnberg	28	3	8	17	-30	17
18	Hannover	28	3	5	20	-40	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Dortmund	14	12	2	0	+27	38
2	Bayern Munich	14	10	3	1	+28	33
3	RB Leipzig	14	8	5	1	+22	29
4	M'gladbach	13	9	1	3	+12	28
5	Ein Frankfurt	14	8	3	3	+15	27
6	Hoffenheim	14	6	5	3	+10	23
7	Werder Bremen	14	6	5	3	+7	23
8	Mainz	14	6	4	4	+5	22
9	Wolfsburg	14	6	4	4	+4	22
10	Leverkusen	14	7	1	6	+0	22
11	Freiburg	14	5	6	3	+5	21
12	Fortuna Dusseldorf	14	7	0	7	-2	21
13	Hertha	14	5	5	4	+1	20
14	Augsburg	14	4	4	6	-1	16
15	Stuttgart	14	4	4	6	-8	16
16	Nurnberg	14	3	5	6	-2	14
17	Schalke 04	14	4	1	9	-9	13
18	Hannover	14	3	1	10	-14	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	14	10	1	3	+18	31
2	RB Leipzig	14	8	2	4	+9	26
3	Ein Frankfurt	14	7	4	3	+10	25
4	Dortmund	14	7	4	3	+4	25
5	Wolfsburg	14	7	2	5	+1	23
6	Hoffenheim	14	5	6	3	+9	21
7	Leverkusen	14	6	2	6	+2	20
8	Werder Bremen	13	5	4	4	+3	19
9	M'gladbach	14	5	4	5	+0	19
10	Fortuna Dusseldorf	14	4	4	6	-12	16
11	Hertha	14	4	3	7	-6	15
12	Schalke 04	14	3	4	7	-8	13
13	Freiburg	14	2	5	7	-15	11
14	Mainz	14	3	2	9	-20	11
15	Augsburg	14	2	3	9	-16	9
16	Stuttgart	14	1	2	11	-25	5
17	Hannover	14	0	4	10	-26	4
18	Nurnberg	14	0	3	11	-28	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.