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Bundesliga
Referee: M Petersen
Werder Bremen
U U S T S
0–1
Full-time
Augsburg
T S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Werder Bremen Augsburg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,8
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
4,2
2,8
Scored
2,3
1,2
Conceded
1,8
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,5
This season — Bundesliga · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 30%
40%
20%
Points per game
1,6
0,6
Over 2.5 Ø 70%
80%
60%
Both score Ø 60%
80%
40%
Average goals
4,4
2,6
Scored
2,4
0,6
Conceded
2,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,4
-1,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

70% Possession 30%
11 Shots 14
6 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 4
5 Goalkeeper saves 7
3 Corners 7
1 Offside 5
12 Free kicks against 12
4 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Werder Bremen 8. · Augsburg 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Freiburg 5 4 0 1 +5 12
2 Dortmund 5 4 0 1 +4 12
3 Bayern Munich 5 3 2 0 +14 11
4 Union Berlin 5 3 2 0 +8 11
5 Mainz 5 3 1 1 +0 10
6 FC Koln 5 2 3 0 +4 9
7 Hoffenheim 5 3 0 2 +2 9
8 Werder Bremen 5 2 2 1 +2 8
9 M'gladbach 5 2 2 1 +2 8
10 Ein Frankfurt 5 2 2 1 +0 8
11 RB Leipzig 5 1 2 2 -3 5
12 Stuttgart 5 0 4 1 -1 4
13 Hertha 5 1 1 3 -2 4
14 Leverkusen 5 1 0 4 -3 3
15 Schalke 04 5 0 3 2 -7 3
16 Augsburg 5 1 0 4 -7 3
17 Wolfsburg 5 0 2 3 -6 2
18 Bochum 5 0 0 5 -12 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Werder Bremen Augsburg
Christian Groß 🟨
25′
M. Zetterer 🔁
↦ J. Pavlenka
29′
32′
🟨 Elvis Rexhbeçaj
Niclas Füllkrug ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
33′
Niclas Füllkrug 🟨
38′
Half-time 0–1
63′
E. Demirović 0–1
M. Berisha
I. Gruev 🔁
↦ C. Groß
67′
O. Burke 🔁
↦ R. Schmid
67′
N. Schmidt 🔁
↦ J. Stage
67′
70′
🔁 F. Jensen
↦ E. Demirović
76′
🟨 Maximilian Bauer
78′
🔁 A. Maier
↦ F. Niederlechner
L. Buchanan 🔁
↦ A. Jung
87′
93′
🟨 Jeffrey Gouweleeuw
Marco Friedl 🟨
94′
94′
🟨 Carlos Gruezo
96′
🟨 Rafał Gikiewicz
97′
🔁 D. Caligiuri
↦ M. Berisha
Amos Pieper 🟨
98′
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Werder Bremen

3-1-4-2
1 J. Pavlenka G
5 A. Pieper D
13 M. Veljković D
32 M. Friedl D
36 C. Groß M
8 M. Weiser M
20 R. Schmid M
6 J. Stage M
3 A. Jung M
7 M. Ducksch F
11 N. Füllkrug F
Bench (9)
30 M. Zetterer
28 I. Gruev
9 O. Burke
22 N. Schmidt
26 L. Buchanan
24 B. Goller
4 N. Stark
23 N. Rapp
27 F. Agu

Coach: O. Werner

Augsburg

3-4-3
1 R. Gikiewicz G
2 R. Gumny D
23 M. Bauer D
6 J. Gouweleeuw D
28 A. Hahn M
8 C. Gruezo M
13 E. Rexhbeçaj M
22 Iago M
7 F. Niederlechner F
11 M. Berisha F
9 E. Demirović F
Bench (9)
24 F. Jensen
10 A. Maier
20 D. Caligiuri
14 J. Baumgartlinger
32 R. Framberger
25 D. Klein
21 L. Petkov
3 M. Pedersen
16 R. Vargas

Coach: E. Maaßen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,54
U
4,58
B ✓
5,70
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,57
U2,5 ✓
2,44
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

M Petersen · 103 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.