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Conference League
Referee: D Schlager
Maccabi Tel Aviv
S S T S T
1–1
Full-time
Lugano
S S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Maccabi Tel Aviv Lugano
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
50%
83%
Points per game
1,5
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 83%
83%
83%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
3,2
4,2
Scored
1,7
3,3
Conceded
1,5
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+2,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 1/5 matches
Win Ø 40%
0%
80%
Points per game
0,0
2,6
Over 2.5 Ø 80%
100%
60%
Both score Ø 80%
100%
60%
Average goals
3,0
3,2
Scored
1,0
2,4
Conceded
2,0
0,8
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+1,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

60% Possession 40%
20 Shots 9
7 Shots on target 2
7 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 6
6 Corners 5
1 Offside 2
12 Free kicks against 10
1 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 1

Recent head-to-head meetings

20. Aug -26 Lugano – Maccabi Tel Aviv 2–1

Match report

Maccabi Tel Aviv Lugano
27′
🟨 Antonios Papadopoulos
Ido Shahar ℹ️
VAR: Penalty cancelled
29′
36′
🟨 Mattia Zanotti
Half-time 0–0
58′
🟨 Mattia Zanotti
58′
🟥 Mattia Zanotti
63′
🔁 D. Kelvin
↦ D. Dos Santos
63′
🔁 D. Moncada
↦ K. Behrens
N. Ben Harush 🔁
↦ T. Asante
65′
E. Madmon 🔁
↦ E. Sokler
65′
68′
🟨 Renato Steffen
1–0 D. Peretz ⚽
69′
Mohamed Camara 🟨
70′
79′
⚽ D. Moncada 1–1
Y. Cimignani
H. Layous 🔁
↦ I. Shahar
81′
82′
🔁 B. Karimov
↦ R. Steffen
82′
🔁 A. Kendouci
↦ A. Papadopoulos
92′
🟨 Uran Bislimi
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Maccabi Tel Aviv

4-3-3
22 O. Melika G
6 T. Asante D
5 M. Camara D
13 R. Shlomo D
3 R. Revivo D
42 D. Peretz M
28 I. Sissokho M
36 I. Shahar M
77 O. Davida F
9 E. Sokler F
29 H. Varela F
Bench (11)
51 S. Saadia
90 R. Mishpati
21 N. Ben Harush
41 I. Ben Hamo
25 S. Rosen
18 D. Glazer
30 I. Noy
59 L. Assras
60 I. Ben Simon
33 H. Layous
19 E. Madmon

Coach: Kenny Miller

Lugano

3-5-2
16 D. von Ballmoos G
6 A. Papadopoulos D
17 L. Mai D
3 H. Delcroix D
46 M. Zanotti M
25 U. Bislimi M
8 A. Grgic M
27 D. Dos Santos M
21 Y. Cimignani M
11 R. Steffen F
91 K. Behrens F
Bench (11)
28 F. Gebhardt
39 C. Ndiaye
4 D. Kelvin
2 B. Karimov
18 J. Bichsel
26 M. Marques
23 G. Ajdin
14 A. Kendouci
22 B. D. Castro Espinosa
24 E. Pihlstrom
30 D. Moncada

Coach: Mattia Croci-Torti

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

D Schlager · 124 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,8 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.