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Conference League
Referee: V Kopiyevsky
Lugano
S S S S S
2–0
Full-time
NSI Runavik
T U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lugano NSI Runavik
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
83%
50%
Points per game
2,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,8
3,0
Scored
3,0
1,5
Conceded
0,8
1,5
Goal diff per game
+2,2
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 2/4 matches
Win Ø 75%
100%
50%
Points per game
3,0
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 38%
50%
25%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,5
2,3
Scored
3,0
1,3
Conceded
0,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
+2,5
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

69% Possession 31%
31 Shots 5
9 Shots on target 1
9 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 6
15 Corners 3
16 Free kicks against 3
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Lugano NSI Runavik
1–0 E. Pihlstrom ⚽
Y. Cimignani
7′
Half-time 1–0
D. Moncada 🔁
↦ A. Kendouci
61′
A. Grgic 🔁
↦ D. Dos Santos
61′
A. Papadopoulos 🔁
↦ Y. Cimignani
72′
77′
🔁 T. Hestad
↦ M. Przybylski
2–0 K. Behrens ⚽
M. Zanotti
79′
B. D. Castro Espinosa 🔁
↦ E. Pihlstrom
82′
85′
🔁 M. Danielsen
↦ M. Lindh
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Lugano

3-4-1-2
16 D. von Ballmoos G
46 M. Zanotti D
4 D. Kelvin D
3 H. Delcroix D
21 Y. Cimignani M
14 A. Kendouci M
27 D. Dos Santos M
24 E. Pihlstrom M
25 U. Bislimi F
11 R. Steffen F
91 K. Behrens F
Bench (12)
28 F. Gebhardt
39 C. Ndiaye
17 L. Mai
23 G. Ajdin
22 B. D. Castro Espinosa
30 D. Moncada
33 C. Raffa
8 A. Grgic
6 A. Papadopoulos
18 J. Bichsel
44 Carbone
32 N. Puddu

Coach: Mattia Croci-Torti

NSI Runavik

5-4-1
13 T. Amos G
5 A. F. Elisson D
12 F. Drinic D
4 D. Obbekjaer D
3 V. Davidsen D
17 J. Benjaminsen D
11 M. Lindh M
6 B. Nolsoe M
29 E. W. Joensen M
33 M. Przybylski M
2 S. Skytte
Bench (6)
1 K. Joensen
30 D. Danielsen
10 K. Olsen
9 T. Hestad
22 J. Trondargjogv
28 M. Danielsen

Coach: Sigurdur Eyjolfsson

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.