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Conference League
Referee: M Milanovic
Lugano
S S S S U
2–1
Full-time
Maccabi Tel Aviv
T S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lugano Maccabi Tel Aviv
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
83%
50%
Points per game
2,7
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
67%
17%
Average goals
4,2
2,8
Scored
3,3
1,5
Conceded
0,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
+2,5
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

41% Possession 59%
11 Shots 11
2 Shots on target 1
1 Blocked shots 4
0 Corners 4
2 Offside 0
17 Free kicks against 15
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Lugano Maccabi Tel Aviv
1–0 K. Behrens ⚽
Y. Cimignani
31′
Half-time 1–1
47′
⚽ I. Shahar 1–1
R. Revivo
2–1 A. Grgic ⚽
54′
57′
🔁 N. Ben Harush
↦ T. Asante
57′
🔁 S. Abu Farkhi
↦ E. Sokler
M. Marques 🔁
↦ D. Dos Santos
71′
D. Moncada 🔁
↦ K. Behrens
71′
E. Pihlstrom 🔁
↦ R. Steffen
81′
A. Kendouci 🔁
↦ Y. Cimignani
89′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Lugano

3-4-2-1
16 D. von Ballmoos G
6 A. Papadopoulos D
17 L. Mai D
3 H. Delcroix D
46 M. Zanotti M
25 U. Bislimi M
8 A. Grgic M
21 Y. Cimignani M
11 R. Steffen F
27 D. Dos Santos F
91 K. Behrens F
Bench (10)
28 F. Gebhardt
39 C. Ndiaye
4 D. Kelvin
18 J. Bichsel
26 M. Marques
23 G. Ajdin
14 A. Kendouci
22 B. D. Castro Espinosa
24 E. Pihlstrom
30 D. Moncada

Coach: Mattia Croci-Torti

Maccabi Tel Aviv

4-3-3
22 O. Melika G
6 T. Asante D
5 M. Camara D
13 R. Shlomo D
3 R. Revivo D
42 D. Peretz M
28 I. Sissokho M
36 I. Shahar M
77 O. Davida F
9 E. Sokler F
29 H. Varela F
Bench (12)
51 S. Saadia
90 R. Mishpati
21 N. Ben Harush
41 I. Ben Hamo
25 S. Rosen
18 D. Glazer
30 I. Noy
23 O. N. Azo
60 I. Ben Simon
33 H. Layous
19 E. Madmon
34 S. Abu Farkhi

Coach: Kenny Miller

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

M Milanovic · 11 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,9 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,1 / match
Above average

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.