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Super League
Referee: Fedayi San
Young Boys
T T S S U
0–0
Full-time
Basel
S S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Young Boys Basel
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,7
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
67%
17%
Average goals
4,3
3,0
Scored
2,0
1,8
Conceded
2,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Super League · 11/11 matches
Win Ø 55%
45%
64%
Points per game
1,6
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 82%
82%
82%
Both score Ø 73%
82%
64%
Average goals
3,9
3,4
Scored
1,9
2,0
Conceded
2,0
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,1
+0,6
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,60 xG 0,59
43% Possession 57%
10 Shots 15
4 Shots on target 0
2 Blocked shots 7
0 Goalkeeper saves 4
3 Corners 7
1 Offside 4
13 Free kicks against 10
2 Yellow cards 4
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Young Boys 5. · Basel 3.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Thun 12 9 1 2 +11 -3.3 28
2 St. Gallen 11 7 0 4 +12 +2.9 21
3 Basel 11 7 0 4 +7 +7.6 21
4 Sion 12 5 3 4 +3 +4.8 18
5 Young Boys 11 5 3 3 -1 -2.7 18
6 Lugano 11 5 1 5 -1 +2.7 16
7 Lausanne 12 4 3 5 +4 +4.5 15
8 Luzern 11 3 5 3 -1 -2.1 14
9 Servette 12 4 2 6 -4 +0.8 14
10 Zurich 12 4 1 7 -7 +3.5 13
11 Grasshoppers 11 2 4 5 -4 -8.8 10
12 Winterthur 12 1 3 8 -19 -9.7 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Young Boys Basel
D. Pech 🔁
↦ E. Fernandes
20′
Armin Gigović 🟨
33′
Half-time 0–0
Armin Gigović 🟨
48′
Armin Gigović 🟥
48′
56′
🟨 Bénie Traoré
E. Colley 🔁
↦ D. Males
59′
S. Cordova 🔁
↦ C. Bedia
59′
59′
🔁 M. Soticek
↦ B. Traore
59′
🔁 I. Salah
↦ A. Ajeti
B. Kabeya 🔁
↦ R. Andrews
72′
A. Virginius 🔁
↦ J. Monteiro
72′
74′
🔁 M. Broschinski
↦ P. Otele
86′
🟨 Moritz Broschinski
87′
🔁 K. Ruegg
↦ N. Vouilloz
87′
🔁 K. Koindredi
↦ L. Leroy
93′
🟨 Kevin Rüegg
94′
🟨 Xherdan Shaqiri
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Young Boys

4-2-3-1
1 M. Keller G
2 R. Andrews D
6 E. Fernandes D
30 S. Lauper D
3 J. Hadjam D
45 R. Raveloson M
37 A. Gigovic M
16 C. Fassnacht M
39 D. Males M
77 J. Monteiro M
29 C. Bedia F
Bench (9)
12 H. Lindner
52 B. Kabeya
23 L. Benito
13 D. Pech
10 A. Sanches
11 E. Colley
9 S. Cordova
25 F. Tsimba
7 A. Virginius

Coach: Giorgio Contini

Basel

4-2-3-1
1 M. Hitz G
3 N. Vouilloz D
26 A. Barisic D
24 F. Daniliuc D
31 D. Schmid D
22 L. Leroy M
5 Metinho M
11 B. Traore M
10 X. Shaqiri M
7 P. Otele M
23 A. Ajeti F
Bench (9)
13 M. Salvi
32 J. Adjetey
29 M. Cisse
27 K. Ruegg
14 A. Bacanin
8 K. Koindredi
19 M. Soticek
17 M. Broschinski
21 I. Salah

Coach: Ludovic Magnin

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U ✓
B
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.