Super League
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Young Boys
Basel
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | xG +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Thun
|
12 | 9 | 1 | 2 | +11 | -3.3 | 28 |
| 2 |
St. Gallen
|
11 | 7 | 0 | 4 | +12 | +2.9 | 21 |
| 3 |
Basel
|
11 | 7 | 0 | 4 | +7 | +7.6 | 21 |
| 4 |
Sion
|
12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | +3 | +4.8 | 18 |
| 5 |
Young Boys
|
11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | -1 | -2.7 | 18 |
| 6 |
Lugano
|
11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | -1 | +2.7 | 16 |
| 7 |
Lausanne
|
12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | +4 | +4.5 | 15 |
| 8 |
Luzern
|
11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | -1 | -2.1 | 14 |
| 9 |
Servette
|
12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | -4 | +0.8 | 14 |
| 10 |
Zurich
|
12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | -7 | +3.5 | 13 |
| 11 |
Grasshoppers
|
11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -4 | -8.8 | 10 |
| 12 |
Winterthur
|
12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | -19 | -9.7 | 6 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
M. Keller
G
E. Fernandes
D
S. Lauper
D
J. Hadjam
D
R. Raveloson
M
A. Gigovic
M
C. Fassnacht
M
D. Males
M
J. Monteiro
M
Coach: Giorgio Contini
N. Vouilloz
D
A. Barisic
D
F. Daniliuc
D
D. Schmid
D
L. Leroy
M
Metinho
M
X. Shaqiri
M
P. Otele
M
A. Ajeti
F
Coach: Ludovic Magnin
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Grasshoppers
Young Boys
Zurich
Young Boys
Young Boys
Ludogorets
Young Boys
St. Gallen
Lausanne
Young Boys
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.