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Super League
Referee: L Cibelli
Young Boys
U T S U T
3–1
Full-time
St. Gallen
U S S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Young Boys St. Gallen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 83%
83%
83%
Average goals
3,3
2,7
Scored
1,3
1,5
Conceded
2,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Super League · 15/15 matches
Win Ø 30%
27%
33%
Points per game
1,1
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
60%
53%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,9
2,9
Scored
1,3
1,7
Conceded
1,6
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,4
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

4,33 xG 1,25
60% Possession 40%
26 Shots 10
12 Shots on target 3
4 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 9
5 Corners 3
4 Offside 0
11 Free kicks against 4
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Young Boys 9. · St. Gallen 7.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Basel 16 9 2 5 +22 +11.5 29
2 Lugano 15 8 4 3 +9 +4.1 28
3 Zurich 16 7 6 3 +4 -2.8 27
4 Luzern 16 7 5 4 +5 +1.8 26
5 Servette 15 7 4 4 +0 -1.5 25
6 Lausanne 16 7 3 6 +3 +9.4 24
7 St. Gallen 15 5 6 4 +6 -2.0 21
8 Sion 16 5 5 6 +1 +6.9 20
9 Young Boys 15 4 5 6 -5 -1.5 17
10 Yverdon 16 4 4 8 -11 -11.2 16
11 Winterthur 16 3 3 10 -23 -13.8 12
12 Grasshoppers 16 2 5 9 -11 -0.9 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Young Boys St. Gallen
16′
🟨 Lukas Görtler
1–0 D. Males
23′
2–0 C. Itten
26′
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 N. Yannick
↦ C. Okoroji
46′
🔁 B. Toma
↦ F. Mambimbi
53′
M. Cisse 2–1
C. Witzig
64′
🟥 Noah Yannick
64′
ℹ️ Noah Yannick
VAR: Card upgrade
E. Colley 🔁
↦ D. Males
66′
S. Ganvoula 🔁
↦ A. Virginius
66′
66′
🔁 K. Faber
↦ C. Konietzke
69′
🟨 Christian Witzig
C. Niasse 🔁
↦ F. Ugrinic
82′
K. Imeri 🔁
↦ J. Monteiro
82′
Cédric Itten 🟨
84′
85′
🔁 K. Csoboth
↦ C. Witzig
85′
🔁 C. Akolo
↦ M. Cisse
Kastriot Imeri 🟨
89′
L. Blum 🔁
↦ J. Hadjam
95′
3–1 S. Ganvoula
C. Itten
96′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Young Boys

4-4-2
26 D. von Ballmoos G
24 Z. Athekame D
30 S. Lauper D
23 L. Benito D
3 J. Hadjam D
39 D. Males M
7 F. Ugrinic M
8 Ł. Łakomy M
21 A. Virginius M
77 J. Monteiro F
9 C. Itten F
Bench (9)
11 E. Colley
35 S. Ganvoula
20 C. Niasse
10 K. Imeri
27 L. Blum
33 M. Keller
15 M. Elia
5 A. Husic
13 M. Camara

Coach: J. Magnin

St. Gallen

4-3-2-1
1 L. Zigi G
28 H. Vandermersch D
15 A. Diaby D
20 A. Vallci D
36 C. Okoroji D
16 L. Görtler M
64 M. Stevanović M
63 C. Konietzke M
18 F. Mambimbi M
7 C. Witzig M
11 M. Cisse F
Bench (9)
14 N. Yannick
24 B. Toma
22 K. Faber
77 K. Csoboth
10 C. Akolo
25 L. Watkowiak
70 N. Probst
30 Víctor Ruiz
5 S. Ambrosius

Coach: E. Maaßen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

L Cibelli · 109 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,33 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.