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Super League

Referee: Sven Wolfensberger

Zurich

U S T S S

3–1

Full-time

St. Gallen

S S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Zurich St. Gallen

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

50%

83%

Points per game

1,7

2,5

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

83%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

3,5

3,0

Scored

1,7

2,3

Conceded

1,8

0,7

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+1,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Super League · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

50%

83%

Points per game

1,7

2,5

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

83%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

3,5

3,0

Scored

1,7

2,3

Conceded

1,8

0,7

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+1,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

5,53 xG 1,23

59% Possession 41%

29 Shots 6

12 Shots on target 1

9 Blocked shots 0

0 Goalkeeper saves 8

5 Corners 4

0 Offside 4

16 Free kicks against 21

4 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Zurich 6. · St. Gallen 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	St. Gallen	6	5	0	1	+10	+6.0	15
2	Thun	6	4	1	1	+5	-1.1	13
3	Basel	6	4	0	2	+4	+5.7	12
4	Young Boys	6	3	2	1	+2	-0.9	11
5	Sion	6	3	1	2	+3	-0.3	10
6	Zurich	6	3	1	2	-1	-1.0	10
7	Servette	7	2	2	3	+0	+0.1	8
8	Luzern	6	2	2	2	+0	-2.5	8
9	Lugano	7	2	1	4	-5	+3.2	7
10	Grasshoppers	7	1	3	3	-1	-5.1	6
11	Lausanne	6	1	1	4	-4	+2.4	4
12	Winterthur	7	0	2	5	-13	-6.5	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	St. Gallen	4	3	0	1	+6	+2.1	9
2	Young Boys	3	2	1	0	+4	+2.3	7
3	Lugano	4	2	1	1	+2	+1.8	7
4	Basel	2	2	0	0	+4	+5.3	6
5	Servette	4	1	2	1	+1	+0.6	5
6	Grasshoppers	3	1	1	1	+1	-0.2	4
7	Thun	3	1	1	1	-1	-1.9	4
8	Sion	3	1	0	2	+1	-1.2	3
9	Lausanne	3	1	0	2	-1	+1.0	3
10	Zurich	3	1	0	2	-4	-2.1	3
11	Luzern	3	0	1	2	-2	+0.0	1
12	Winterthur	3	0	1	2	-3	-1.7	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Thun	3	3	0	0	+6	+0.8	9
2	Zurich	3	2	1	0	+3	+1.1	7
3	Luzern	3	2	1	0	+2	-2.5	7
4	Sion	3	2	1	0	+2	+0.8	7
5	St. Gallen	2	2	0	0	+4	+3.9	6
6	Basel	4	2	0	2	+0	+0.4	6
7	Young Boys	3	1	1	1	-2	-3.1	4
8	Servette	3	1	0	2	-1	-0.5	3
9	Grasshoppers	4	0	2	2	-2	-4.8	2
10	Lausanne	3	0	1	2	-3	+1.4	1
11	Winterthur	4	0	1	3	-10	-4.7	1
12	Lugano	3	0	0	3	-7	+1.5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.