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Premiership
Referee: C Graham
Livingston
S S U S U
3–1
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Livingston Falkirk
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/1 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
2,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
33%
100%
Both score Ø 84%
67%
100%
Average goals
3,0
4,0
Scored
2,0
2,0
Conceded
1,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,0
This season — Premiership · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
1,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
4,0
4,0
Scored
2,0
2,0
Conceded
2,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

1,59 xG 0,83
41% Possession 59%
8 Shots 8
5 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 5
0 Offside 3
23 Free kicks against 15
4 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Livingston Falkirk
Graham Carey 🟨
4′
S. Blaney 🔁
↦ D. Wilson
14′
1–0 S. Pittman
R. Muirhead
18′
26′
🔁 A. Agyeman
↦ E. Ross
M. Sylla 🔁
↦ G. Carey
37′
Robbie Muirhead 🟨
44′
2–0 L. Smith
M. Tait
45′
Half-time 2–0
C. Montano 🔁
↦ A. Montgomery
46′
46′
🔁 B. Graham
↦ A. Nesbitt
46′
🔁 S. Mackie
↦ L. McCann
50′
🟨 Liam Henderson
Andy Winter ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
54′
59′
🟨 Brad Spencer
J. Bokila 🔁
↦ R. Muirhead
67′
T. Yengi 🔁
↦ L. Smith
67′
67′
🔁 H. Cartwright
↦ D. Tait
73′
ℹ️ Keelan Adams
VAR: Penalty cancelled
74′
R. MacIver 2–1
C. Miller
76′
🔁 S. Arfield
↦ R. MacIver
Cristian Montano 🟨
78′
Jeremy Bokila 🟨
84′
3–1 J. Bokila
C. Montano
88′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Livingston

4-3-3
28 J. Prior G
40 S. Lawal
5 R. McGowan D
27 D. Wilson D
3 A. Montgomery D
8 S. Pittman M
25 M. Tait M
10 G. Carey M
15 L. Smith F
9 R. Muirhead F
16 A. Winter F
Bench (9)
14 J. Hamilton
4 S. Blaney
17 S. May
18 J. Bokila
22 A. Shinnie
24 M. Sylla
26 C. Montano
36 S. Culbert
39 T. Yengi

Coach: David Paul Martindale

Falkirk

4-2-3-1
19 S. Bain G
2 K. Adams D
15 L. Neilson D
5 L. Henderson D
3 L. McCann D
8 B. Spencer M
21 D. Tait M
29 C. Miller M
10 A. Nesbitt M
23 E. Ross M
9 R. MacIver F
Bench (9)
1 N. Hogarth
18 G. Oliver
7 B. Graham
11 A. Agyeman
20 C. Allan
17 H. Cartwright
26 S. Mackie
37 S. Arfield
32 R. Walker

Coach: John McGlynn

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,61
U
3,22
B
2,64
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,05
U2,5
1,71
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

C Graham · 44 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,4 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.