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Premiership
Referee: W Collum
Livingston
T S S T T
1–0
Full-time
Hearts
S T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Livingston Hearts
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,7
3,0
Scored
1,0
1,5
Conceded
1,7
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,0
This season — Premiership · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 50%
40%
60%
Points per game
1,2
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
60%
60%
Both score Ø 60%
40%
80%
Average goals
2,6
3,4
Scored
0,8
2,0
Conceded
1,8
1,4
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

36% Possession 64%
12 Shots 6
6 Shots on target 0
2 Blocked shots 2
0 Goalkeeper saves 5
3 Corners 3
4 Offside 0
13 Free kicks against 13
4 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Livingston 7. · Hearts 3. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 6 6 0 0 +24 18
2 Rangers 6 4 1 1 +7 13
3 Hearts 5 3 1 1 +3 10
4 Aberdeen 5 3 0 2 +6 9
5 Motherwell 5 3 0 2 +1 9
6 St Mirren 5 3 0 2 +1 9
7 Livingston 5 2 0 3 -5 6
8 Hibernian 5 1 2 2 -1 5
9 Kilmarnock 5 1 1 3 -7 4
10 ST Johnstone 5 1 0 4 -6 3
11 Ross County 5 1 0 4 -7 3
12 Dundee United 5 0 1 4 -16 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

19. Mar -22 Hearts – Livingston 2–0 5. Dec -21 Livingston – Hearts 0–1 25. Sep -21 Hearts – Livingston 3–0 4. Dec -19 Hearts – Livingston 1–1 26. Oct -19 Livingston – Hearts 0–0

Match report

Livingston Hearts
Stephane Omeonga 🟨
23′
1–0 C. Montaño ⚽
J. Holt
28′
Jason Holt 🟨
34′
Half-time 1–0
52′
🟨 Cameron Devlin
56′
🔁 L. Shankland
↦ C. Devlin
56′
🔁 P. Haring
↦ J. Grant
56′
🔁 A. Forrest
↦ G. Mackay-Steven
K. Guthrie 🔁
↦ Esmaël Gonçalves
57′
D. Bahamboula 🔁
↦ J. Penrice
57′
65′
🟨 Lawrence Shankland
65′
🔁 J. Ginnelly
↦ S. Humphrys
Scott Pitman 🟨
68′
S. Kelly 🔁
↦ S. Oméonga
81′
J. Longridge 🔁
↦ C. Montaño
83′
83′
🔁 E. Henderson
↦ A. Halliday
Joel Nouble 🟨
93′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Livingston

4-2-3-1
1 S. George G
2 N. Devlin D
6 A. Obileye D
24 S. Kelly D
11 C. Montaño D
18 J. Holt M
8 S. Pittman M
10 Esmaël Gonçalves M
33 S. Oméonga M
29 J. Penrice M
19 J. Nouble F
Bench (9)
28 K. Guthrie
7 D. Bahamboula
17 S. Kelly
3 J. Longridge
32 J. Hamilton
20 S. Bitsindou
12 J. Brandon
25 P. Čančar
22 A. Shinnie

Coach: D. Martindale

Hearts

4-2-3-1
1 C. Gordon G
21 T. Sibbick D
20 L. Neilson D
3 S. Kingsley D
19 A. Cochrane D
14 C. Devlin M
16 A. Halliday M
18 B. McKay M
7 J. Grant M
11 G. Mackay-Steven M
29 S. Humphrys F
Bench (8)
9 L. Shankland
5 P. Haring
17 A. Forrest
30 J. Ginnelly
22 E. Henderson
13 R. Stewart
27 C. Smith
2 M. Smith

Coach: R. Neilson

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
3,28
🔒
U
3,32
🔒
B
2,20
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
2,04
🔒
U2,5 ✓
1,76
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

W Collum · 109 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.