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Premiership
Referee: A Muir
Hibernian
T U T U S
1–0
Full-time
Aberdeen
T T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hibernian Aberdeen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,3
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
17%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
1,7
2,3
Scored
0,8
1,3
Conceded
0,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,3
This season — Premiership · 18/18 matches
Win Ø 36%
33%
39%
Points per game
1,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 44%
44%
44%
Both score Ø 50%
44%
56%
Average goals
2,3
2,5
Scored
1,1
1,3
Conceded
1,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,1
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

48% Possession 52%
6 Shots 10
3 Shots on target 2
1 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 5
4 Offside 1
15 Free kicks against 13
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hibernian 7. · Aberdeen 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rangers 19 15 3 1 +27 48
2 Celtic 18 13 2 3 +28 41
3 Hearts 19 9 6 4 +10 33
4 Motherwell 19 8 4 7 -3 28
5 Dundee United 19 7 4 8 -5 25
6 Aberdeen 18 7 3 8 +1 24
7 Hibernian 18 6 5 7 -1 23
8 Livingston 19 5 5 9 -9 20
9 Ross County 19 4 6 9 -7 18
10 St Mirren 18 3 9 6 -11 18
11 Dundee 19 4 4 11 -18 16
12 ST Johnstone 19 3 5 11 -12 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hibernian Aberdeen
A. Gogić 🔁
↦ J. Doyle-Hayes
34′
Alexander Gogić 🟨
38′
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 C. Ramsay
↦ J. Emmanuel-Thomas
J. Murphy 🔁
↦ S. Allan
59′
1–0 R. Porteous
M. Boyle
64′
68′
🔁 T. Jenks
↦ D. Campbell
Kevin Nisbet 🟨
76′
77′
🔁 C. McLennan
↦ M. Watkins
C. Doidge 🔁
↦ K. Nisbet
83′
88′
🟨 Ryan Hedges
92′
🟨 Lewis Ferguson
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Hibernian

3-4-1-2
1 M. Macey G
4 P. Hanlon D
6 P. McGinn D
27 C. Cadden M
5 R. Porteous D
3 J. Doig M
10 M. Boyle F
23 S. Allan F
22 J. Doyle-Hayes M
32 J. Campbell M
15 K. Nisbet F
Bench (7)
13 A. Gogić
18 J. Murphy
9 C. Doidge
16 L. Stevenson
8 D. Wright
25 J. Scott
21 M. Dąbrowski

Coach: S. Maloney

Aberdeen

4-2-3-1
1 J. Lewis G
5 D. Gallagher D
27 D. Bates D
17 J. Hayes D
16 F. Ojo D
19 L. Ferguson M
24 D. Campbell M
7 M. Watkins M
14 J. Emmanuel-Thomas M
9 C. Ramírez F
11 R. Hedges M
Bench (7)
22 C. Ramsay
20 T. Jenks
18 C. McLennan
10 N. McGinn
3 J. MacKenzie
25 G. Woods
23 A. Samuels

Coach: S. Glass

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,59
U
3,20
B
2,76
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,29
U2,5 ✓
1,60
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

A Muir · 65 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.