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Europa League
Referee: Nick Walsh
Malmo FF
T S U T U
0–1
Full-time
Panathinaikos
U U T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Malmo FF Panathinaikos
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
50%
17%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,2
2,0
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
2,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,2
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 5/7 matches
Win Ø 35%
40%
29%
Points per game
1,4
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
60%
57%
Both score Ø 49%
40%
57%
Average goals
2,6
2,1
Scored
1,4
1,1
Conceded
1,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,1
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,42 xG 1,36
57% Possession 43%
12 Shots 11
2 Shots on target 4
1 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 2
2 Offside 0
12 Free kicks against 17
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Malmo FF Panathinaikos
Otto Rosengren 🟨
41′
43′
🟨 Manolis Siopis
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 M. Pantovic
↦ K. Swiderski
48′
🟨 Giannis Kotsiras
56′
🟨 Pedro Chirivella
60′
🔁 A. Gnezda Cerin
↦ M. Siopis
S. Soumah 🔁
↦ E. Ekong
65′
O. Berg 🔁
↦ K. Busuladzic
65′
78′
🟨 Tetê
S. Holmquist 🔁
↦ H. Bolin
82′
82′
🔁 A. Bakasetas
↦ Tete
85′
⚽ F. Djuricic 0–1
Stefano Vecchia 🟨
88′
O. Lewicki 🔁
↦ O. Rosengren
92′
Full-time 0–1

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.