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Super League
Referee: Felix Zwayer
1–1
Full-time
Panathinaikos
S S T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aris Thessalonikis Panathinaikos
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 58%
33%
83%
Average goals
2,2
2,7
Scored
1,0
1,7
Conceded
1,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,7
This season — Super League · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 58%
33%
83%
Average goals
2,2
2,5
Scored
1,0
1,3
Conceded
1,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

46% Possession 54%
14 Shots 14
3 Shots on target 4
8 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
2 Corners 2
5 Offside 3
14 Free kicks against 16
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Aris Thessalonikis 7. · Panathinaikos 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Olympiakos 7 5 1 1 +11 16
2 AEK 6 5 1 0 +6 16
3 PAOK 6 4 2 0 +4 14
4 Volos NFC 8 4 0 4 -1 12
5 Levadeiakos 7 3 2 2 +9 11
6 Aris 7 3 2 2 -1 11
7 Aris Thessalonikis 6 3 1 2 -1 10
8 Panetolikos 8 3 1 4 -4 10
9 Panathinaikos 6 2 3 1 +1 9
10 OFI Crete 7 3 0 4 -2 9
11 Kifisia 8 2 2 4 -1 8
12 Atromitos 8 1 3 4 -2 6
13 Panserraikos 8 1 3 4 -8 6
14 Larisa 7 0 4 3 -6 4
15 Asteras Tripolis 7 0 3 4 -5 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Aris Thessalonikis Panathinaikos
3′
K. Swiderski 0–1
D. Calabria
21′
🟨 Georgios Kyriakopoulos
25′
🟨 Tetê
Half-time 0–1
A. Donis 🔁
↦ M. Alfarela
46′
N. Sonko Sundberg 🔁
↦ Fabiano
46′
L. Moron 🔁
↦ T. Kadewere
46′
G. Gianniotas 🔁
↦ P. Sisto
68′
70′
🔁 F. Mladenovic
↦ G. Kyriakopoulos
71′
🔁 A. Jeremejeff
↦ K. Swiderski
1–1 A. Donis
G. Gianniotas
75′
M. Frydek 🔁
↦ N. Fadiga
79′
82′
🔁 M. Siopis
↦ P. Chirivella
82′
🔁 F. Djuricic
↦ A. Zaroury
90′
🔁 M. Pantovic
↦ A. Gnezda Cerin
Loren Morón 🟨
97′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Aris Thessalonikis

4-2-3-1
13 S. Dioudis G
27 N. Fadiga D
4 Fabiano D
92 L. Rose D
15 A. Tejero D
8 Monchu M
6 K. Galanopoulos M
97 F. Jensen M
40 P. Sisto M
19 M. Alfarela M
9 T. Kadewere F
Bench (12)
33 G. Athanasiadis
11 A. Donis
17 M. Frydek
18 O. Morutan
20 N. Sonko Sundberg
24 P. Alvaro
26 G. Misehouy
28 Dudu
37 H. Mendyl
70 G. Gianniotas
77 M. Panagidis
80 L. Moron

Coach: Manuel Enrique Jiménez Jiménez

Panathinaikos

4-3-1-2
69 B. Dragowski G
2 D. Calabria D
15 S. I. Ingason D
5 A. Touba D
77 G. Kyriakopoulos D
10 Tete M
4 P. Chirivella M
9 A. Zaroury M
16 A. Gnezda Cerin M
19 K. Swiderski F
11 A. Bakasetas F
Bench (12)
40 A. Lafont
70 K. Kotsaris
6 M. Siopis
14 E. Palmer-Brown
17 D. Mancini
20 V. Taborda
25 F. Mladenovic
27 G. Kotsiras
29 A. Jeremejeff
31 F. Djuricic
44 G. Nikas
72 M. Pantovic

Coach: Christos Kontis

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Felix Zwayer · 92 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
21,3 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.