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Taça de Portugal
Vianense
T S S T S
1–3
Full-time
Portimonense
T U S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Vianense Portimonense
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
67%
17%
Points per game
2,0
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,8
3,2
Scored
1,8
1,2
Conceded
1,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sanjoanense 1 1 0 0 +5 3
2 FC Serpa 1 1 0 0 +5 3
3 Amarante 1 1 0 0 +3 3
4 Sertanense 1 1 0 0 +3 3
5 Rebordosa 1 1 0 0 +3 3
6 Moncarapachense 1 1 0 0 +3 3
7 Arronches e Benfica 1 1 0 0 +3 3
8 Machico 1 1 0 0 +3 3
9 Louletano 1 1 0 0 +3 3
10 Cinfães 1 1 0 0 +3 3
11 Mortágua 1 1 0 0 +3 3
12 Os Limianos 1 1 0 0 +2 3
13 Anadia 1 1 0 0 +2 3
14 Pombal 1 1 0 0 +2 3
15 Academica 1 1 0 0 +2 3
16 Estrela Vendas Novas 1 1 0 0 +2 3
17 União Santarém 1 1 0 0 +2 3
18 Operário 1 1 0 0 +2 3
19 Vieira 1 1 0 0 +2 3
20 Ferreira Zêzere 1 1 0 0 +2 3
21 Guarda 1 1 0 0 +1 3
22 CF Benfica 1 1 0 0 +1 3
23 Vilaverdense 1 1 0 0 +1 3
24 Maria da Fonte 1 1 0 0 +1 3
25 Vianense 1 1 0 0 +1 3
26 1º Dezembro 1 1 0 0 +1 3
27 Brito 1 1 0 0 +1 3
28 Lusitânia 1 1 0 0 +1 3
29 Lusitânia Lourosa 1 1 0 0 +1 3
30 Aliança de Gandra 1 1 0 0 +1 3
31 CF Os Belenenses 1 1 0 0 +1 3
32 Régua 1 1 0 0 +1 3
33 Moura 1 1 0 0 +1 3
34 Caldas 1 1 0 0 +1 3
35 Leça 1 0 1 0 +0 1
36 AD Marco 09 1 0 1 0 +0 1
37 União de Coimbra 1 0 1 0 +0 1
38 Beira-Mar 1 0 1 0 +0 1
39 Ovarense 1 0 1 0 +0 1
40 São João Ver 1 0 1 0 +0 1
41 Vila Real 1 0 1 0 +0 1
42 Joane 1 0 1 0 +0 1
43 Estarreja 1 0 0 1 -1 0
44 Comércio Indústria 1 0 0 1 -1 0
45 Dumiense 1 0 0 1 -1 0
46 Cardielense 1 0 0 1 -1 0
47 Vinhais 1 0 0 1 -1 0
48 Oliveirense 1 0 0 1 -1 0
49 Maia Lidador 1 0 0 1 -1 0
50 São Roque (Açores) 1 0 0 1 -1 0
51 União Lamas 1 0 0 1 -1 0
52 Salgueiros 1 0 0 1 -1 0
53 Viana Alentejo 1 0 0 1 -1 0
54 Velense 1 0 0 1 -1 0
55 Portel 1 0 0 1 -1 0
56 UD da Serra 1 0 0 1 -1 0
57 Valpaços 1 0 0 1 -2 0
58 Vila Cortez 1 0 0 1 -2 0
59 Pedrógão São Pedro 1 0 0 1 -2 0
60 Benfica Castelo Branco 1 0 0 1 -2 0
61 Madalena 1 0 0 1 -2 0
62 Sacavenense 1 0 0 1 -2 0
63 Abrantes e Benfica 1 0 0 1 -2 0
64 Pedras Salgadas 1 0 0 1 -2 0
65 Académico do Fundão 1 0 0 1 -2 0
66 Fafe 1 0 0 1 -3 0
67 Vieirense 1 0 0 1 -3 0
68 Juventude Gaula 1 0 0 1 -3 0
69 O Grandolense 1 0 0 1 -3 0
70 Gavionenses 1 0 0 1 -3 0
71 Macedo Cavaleiros 1 0 0 1 -3 0
72 Lagos 1 0 0 1 -3 0
73 Resende 1 0 0 1 -3 0
74 Oliveira de Frades 1 0 0 1 -3 0
75 Ginásio Figueirense 1 0 0 1 -5 0
76 Praia Milfontes 1 0 0 1 -5 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.