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Taça de Portugal

Vitória de Sernache

1–2

Full-time

Portimonense

S T T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Vitória de Sernache Portimonense

Last 6 — all competitions · 1/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

0,0

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 100%

100%

Both score Ø 50%

100%

Average goals

3,0

3,5

Scored

0,0

1,8

Conceded

3,0

1,7

Goal diff per game

-3,0

+0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	CF Os Belenenses	2	2	0	0	+3	6
2	AD Marco 09	2	2	0	0	+2	6
3	Ovarense	2	1	1	0	+6	4
4	Peniche	1	1	0	0	+8	3
5	Sacavenense	1	1	0	0	+7	3
6	Lusitano Évora 1911	1	1	0	0	+6	3
7	Atlético Malveira	1	1	0	0	+6	3
8	Lusitânia Lourosa	1	1	0	0	+5	3
9	CD Olivais e Moscavide	1	1	0	0	+5	3
10	Trofense	1	1	0	0	+4	3
11	Felgueiras 1932	1	1	0	0	+4	3
12	Caldas	1	1	0	0	+4	3
13	Vianense	1	1	0	0	+3	3
14	Moncarapachense	1	1	0	0	+3	3
15	FC Serpa	1	1	0	0	+3	3
16	Naval 1893	1	1	0	0	+3	3
17	Salgueiros	1	1	0	0	+2	3
18	Gouveia	1	1	0	0	+2	3
19	O Elvas	2	1	0	1	+2	3
20	Vila Meã	1	1	0	0	+2	3
21	Rebordosa	1	1	0	0	+2	3
22	Correlhã	1	1	0	0	+2	3
23	Vila Real	1	1	0	0	+1	3
24	Brito	1	1	0	0	+1	3
25	Oriental Lisboa	1	1	0	0	+1	3
26	Sintrense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
27	Amarante	1	1	0	0	+1	3
28	Vasco da Gama Vidigueira	1	1	0	0	+1	3
29	Machico	1	1	0	0	+1	3
30	Anadia	1	1	0	0	+1	3
31	Mortágua	1	1	0	0	+1	3
32	Os Marialvas	1	1	0	0	+1	3
33	Comércio Indústria	1	1	0	0	+1	3
34	Monção	1	1	0	0	+1	3
35	1º Dezembro	1	1	0	0	+1	3
36	Vila Caíz	1	1	0	0	+1	3
37	Espinho	1	1	0	0	+1	3
38	Celoricense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
39	Nazarenos	1	1	0	0	+1	3
40	Castrense	2	1	0	1	-4	3
41	SC Covilha	1	0	1	0	+0	1
42	Marinhense	1	0	1	0	+0	1
43	Samora Correir	1	0	1	0	+0	1
44	Charneca Caparica	1	0	1	0	+0	1
45	Olímpico do Montijo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
46	Camacha	1	0	0	1	-1	0
47	Maria da Fonte	1	0	0	1	-1	0
48	Alcochetense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
49	Vizela	1	0	0	1	-1	0
50	Tirsense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
51	Lagoa	1	0	0	1	-1	0
52	AR São Martinho	1	0	0	1	-1	0
53	Castro Daire	1	0	0	1	-1	0
54	Carregal	1	0	0	1	-1	0
55	Academica	1	0	0	1	-1	0
56	Juventude Évora	1	0	0	1	-1	0
57	Vilaverdense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
58	Quarteirense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
59	Amora	1	0	0	1	-1	0
60	Ribeira Brava	1	0	0	1	-1	0
61	Florgrade	1	0	0	1	-1	0
62	Cinfães	1	0	0	1	-1	0
63	Celeirós	1	0	0	1	-1	0
64	Sourense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
65	Pontassolense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
66	Beira-Mar	1	0	0	1	-2	0
67	Aparecida GO	1	0	0	1	-2	0
68	Leça	1	0	0	1	-2	0
69	Maritimo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
70	Valpaços	1	0	0	1	-2	0
71	Valenciano	1	0	0	1	-3	0
72	Lusitânia	1	0	0	1	-3	0
73	Viana Alentejo	1	0	0	1	-3	0
74	Portel	1	0	0	1	-3	0
75	Académico do Fundão	1	0	0	1	-3	0
76	Varzim	1	0	0	1	-4	0
77	Sanjoanense	1	0	0	1	-4	0
78	AD Portomosense	1	0	0	1	-4	0
79	Fayal	1	0	0	1	-5	0
80	SC Celoricense	1	0	0	1	-6	0
81	Urzelinense	1	0	0	1	-6	0
82	Lajense	2	0	0	2	-7	0
83	Rabo Peixe	1	0	0	1	-7	0
84	Ferreira Zêzere	1	0	0	1	-8	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	CF Os Belenenses	2	2	0	0	+3	6
2	Ovarense	2	1	1	0	+6	4
3	Peniche	1	1	0	0	+8	3
4	Sacavenense	1	1	0	0	+7	3
5	Trofense	1	1	0	0	+4	3
6	Caldas	1	1	0	0	+4	3
7	Moncarapachense	1	1	0	0	+3	3
8	FC Serpa	1	1	0	0	+3	3
9	Naval 1893	1	1	0	0	+3	3
10	Salgueiros	1	1	0	0	+2	3
11	Gouveia	1	1	0	0	+2	3
12	Rebordosa	1	1	0	0	+2	3
13	Correlhã	1	1	0	0	+2	3
14	Vila Real	1	1	0	0	+1	3
15	Oriental Lisboa	1	1	0	0	+1	3
16	Sintrense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
17	Vasco da Gama Vidigueira	1	1	0	0	+1	3
18	Comércio Indústria	1	1	0	0	+1	3
19	Vila Caíz	1	1	0	0	+1	3
20	AD Marco 09	1	1	0	0	+1	3
21	Celoricense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
22	Nazarenos	1	1	0	0	+1	3
23	Castrense	2	1	0	1	-4	3
24	Marinhense	1	0	1	0	+0	1
25	Charneca Caparica	1	0	1	0	+0	1
26	Maria da Fonte	1	0	0	1	-1	0
27	Tirsense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
28	AR São Martinho	1	0	0	1	-1	0
29	Castro Daire	1	0	0	1	-1	0
30	Carregal	1	0	0	1	-1	0
31	Academica	1	0	0	1	-1	0
32	Vilaverdense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
33	Florgrade	1	0	0	1	-1	0
34	Cinfães	1	0	0	1	-1	0
35	Aparecida GO	1	0	0	1	-2	0
36	Valenciano	1	0	0	1	-3	0
37	Lusitânia	1	0	0	1	-3	0
38	Sanjoanense	1	0	0	1	-4	0
39	Fayal	1	0	0	1	-5	0
40	Urzelinense	1	0	0	1	-6	0
41	Lajense	2	0	0	2	-7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lusitano Évora 1911	1	1	0	0	+6	3
2	Atlético Malveira	1	1	0	0	+6	3
3	Lusitânia Lourosa	1	1	0	0	+5	3
4	CD Olivais e Moscavide	1	1	0	0	+5	3
5	Felgueiras 1932	1	1	0	0	+4	3
6	Vianense	1	1	0	0	+3	3
7	O Elvas	2	1	0	1	+2	3
8	Vila Meã	1	1	0	0	+2	3
9	Brito	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Amarante	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Machico	1	1	0	0	+1	3
12	Anadia	1	1	0	0	+1	3
13	Mortágua	1	1	0	0	+1	3
14	Os Marialvas	1	1	0	0	+1	3
15	Monção	1	1	0	0	+1	3
16	1º Dezembro	1	1	0	0	+1	3
17	Espinho	1	1	0	0	+1	3
18	AD Marco 09	1	1	0	0	+1	3
19	SC Covilha	1	0	1	0	+0	1
20	Samora Correir	1	0	1	0	+0	1
21	Olímpico do Montijo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
22	Camacha	1	0	0	1	-1	0
23	Alcochetense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
24	Vizela	1	0	0	1	-1	0
25	Lagoa	1	0	0	1	-1	0
26	Juventude Évora	1	0	0	1	-1	0
27	Quarteirense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
28	Amora	1	0	0	1	-1	0
29	Ribeira Brava	1	0	0	1	-1	0
30	Celeirós	1	0	0	1	-1	0
31	Sourense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
32	Pontassolense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
33	Beira-Mar	1	0	0	1	-2	0
34	Leça	1	0	0	1	-2	0
35	Maritimo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
36	Valpaços	1	0	0	1	-2	0
37	Viana Alentejo	1	0	0	1	-3	0
38	Portel	1	0	0	1	-3	0
39	Académico do Fundão	1	0	0	1	-3	0
40	Varzim	1	0	0	1	-4	0
41	AD Portomosense	1	0	0	1	-4	0
42	SC Celoricense	1	0	0	1	-6	0
43	Rabo Peixe	1	0	0	1	-7	0
44	Ferreira Zêzere	1	0	0	1	-8	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.