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Champions League
Referee: D Siebert
Paris SG
U U S S T
1–1
Full-time
Arsenal
S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Paris SG Arsenal
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
50%
83%
Points per game
1,8
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,5
1,8
Scored
2,0
1,5
Conceded
1,5
0,3
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+1,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 16/14 matches
Win Ø 71%
63%
79%
Points per game
2,1
2,6
Over 2.5 Ø 56%
69%
43%
Both score Ø 53%
69%
36%
Average goals
4,1
2,5
Scored
2,8
2,1
Conceded
1,4
0,4
Goal diff per game
+1,4
+1,6
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,72 xG 0,51
75% Possession 25%
21 Shots 7
4 Shots on target 1
5 Blocked shots 5
0 Goalkeeper saves 3
11 Corners 3
0 Offside 3
11 Free kicks against 17
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

7. May -25 Paris SG – Arsenal 2–1 29. Apr -25 Arsenal – Paris SG 0–1 1. Oct -24 Arsenal – Paris SG 2–0

Match report

Paris SG Arsenal
6′
⚽ K. Havertz 0–1
L. Trossard
Half-time 0–1
46′
🟨 Cristhian Mosquera
54′
🟨 Bukayo Saka
1–1 O. Dembele ⚽
65′
66′
🔁 V. Gyökeres
↦ M. Odegaard
66′
🔁 J. Timber
↦ C. Mosquera
B. Barcola 🔁
↦ K. Kvaratskhelia
83′
83′
🔁 N. Madueke
↦ B. Saka
83′
🔁 G. Martinelli
↦ L. Trossard
91′
🔁 M. Zubimendi
↦ M. Lewis-Skelly
91′
🔁 E. Eze
↦ K. Havertz
W. Zaire-Emery 🔁
↦ F. Ruiz
95′
João Neves 🟨
96′
G. Ramos 🔁
↦ O. Dembele
96′
98′
🟨 Viktor Gyökeres
103′
🟨 Declan Rice
I. Zabarnyi 🔁
↦ Marquinhos
106′
L. Beraldo 🔁
↦ Vitinha
106′
Nuno Mendes 🟨
118′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Paris SG

4-3-3
39 M. Safonov G
2 A. Hakimi D
5 Marquinhos D
51 W. Pacho D
25 N. Mendes D
87 J. Neves M
17 Vitinha M
8 F. Ruiz M
14 D. Doue F
10 O. Dembele F
7 K. Kvaratskhelia F
Bench (12)
30 L. Chevalier
89 R. Marin
9 G. Ramos
33 W. Zaire-Emery
24 S. Mayulu
27 D. Fernandez
21 L. Hernandez
19 Lee Kang-In
6 I. Zabarnyi
29 B. Barcola
4 L. Beraldo
49 I. Mbaye

Coach: Enrique Luis

Arsenal

4-2-3-1
1 D. Raya G
3 C. Mosquera D
2 W. Saliba D
6 Gabriel D
5 P. Hincapie D
41 D. Rice M
49 M. Lewis-Skelly M
7 B. Saka M
8 M. Odegaard M
19 L. Trossard M
29 K. Havertz F
Bench (12)
13 K. Arrizabalaga
9 Gabriel Jesus
14 V. Gyökeres
20 N. Madueke
11 G. Martinelli
12 J. Timber
36 M. Zubimendi
56 M. Dowman
16 C. Norgaard
23 M. Merino
10 E. Eze
33 R. Calafiori

Coach: Mikel Arteta

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

D Siebert · 158 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.