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Champions League
Referee: J Pinheiro
Bayern Munich
S S S T U
1–1
Full-time
Paris SG
T S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bayern Munich Paris SG
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,2
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 83%
83%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
6,2
4,0
Scored
3,5
2,7
Conceded
2,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+1,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 13/15 matches
Win Ø 76%
85%
67%
Points per game
2,5
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 83%
92%
73%
Both score Ø 76%
85%
67%
Average goals
4,7
4,3
Scored
3,2
2,9
Conceded
1,5
1,4
Goal diff per game
+1,8
+1,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,41 xG 1,06
66% Possession 34%
18 Shots 15
6 Shots on target 7
5 Blocked shots 5
6 Goalkeeper saves 5
1 Corners 8
1 Offside 0
11 Free kicks against 12
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Bayern Munich Paris SG
3′
O. Dembele 0–1
K. Kvaratskhelia
8′
🟨 Nuno Mendes
Jonathan Tah 🟨
33′
Half-time 0–1
48′
🟨 Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
65′
🔁 B. Barcola
↦ O. Dembele
A. Davies 🔁
↦ J. Stanisic
67′
Kim Min-Jae 🔁
↦ J. Tah
68′
76′
🔁 L. Hernandez
↦ D. Doue
76′
🔁 L. Beraldo
↦ F. Ruiz
Luis Díaz 🟨
78′
N. Jackson 🔁
↦ J. Musiala
79′
L. Karl 🔁
↦ D. Upamecano
85′
85′
🔁 S. Mayulu
↦ N. Mendes
86′
🟨 Marquinhos
1–1 H. Kane
A. Davies
90′
Joshua Kimmich 🟨
97′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Bayern Munich

4-2-3-1
1 M. Neuer G
27 K. Laimer D
2 D. Upamecano D
4 J. Tah D
44 J. Stanisic D
6 J. Kimmich M
45 A. Pavlovic M
17 M. Olise M
10 J. Musiala M
14 L. Diaz M
9 H. Kane F
Bench (10)
26 S. Ulreich
40 J. Urbig
8 L. Goretzka
22 R. Guerreiro
19 A. Davies
11 N. Jackson
20 T. Bischof
42 L. Karl
3 Kim Min-Jae
21 H. Ito

Coach: Vincent Kompany

Paris SG

4-3-3
39 M. Safonov G
33 W. Zaire-Emery D
5 Marquinhos D
51 W. Pacho D
25 N. Mendes D
8 F. Ruiz M
17 Vitinha M
87 J. Neves M
14 D. Doue F
10 O. Dembele F
7 K. Kvaratskhelia F
Bench (12)
80 B. Laurendon
70 A. Vignaud
89 R. Marin
9 G. Ramos
24 S. Mayulu
27 D. Fernandez
21 L. Hernandez
19 Lee Kang-In
6 I. Zabarnyi
29 B. Barcola
4 L. Beraldo
49 I. Mbaye

Coach: Enrique Luis

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

J Pinheiro · 22 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.