Conference League
Referee: A Aghayev
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
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Who wins?
Pro
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Team trends
Rakow
HNK Hajduk Split
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,3
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,5
3,7
Scored
1,5
2,3
Conceded
1,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 5/3 matches
Win Ø 64%
60%
67%
Points per game
2,2
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 80%
60%
100%
Both score Ø 54%
40%
67%
Average goals
2,6
5,0
Scored
2,0
3,7
Conceded
0,6
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,4
+2,3
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Goal markets
Pro
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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Most likely result
Pro
The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Match stats
Half-time score: 0–1
68%
Possession
32%
20
Shots
12
5
Shots on target
4
8
Blocked shots
1
1
Goalkeeper saves
3
5
Corners
4
3
Offside
1
13
Free kicks against
22
2
Yellow cards
2
0
Red cards
0
Recent head-to-head meetings
20. Aug -26 HNK Hajduk Split – Rakow 2–2Match report
Rakow
HNK Hajduk Split
⚽
R. Raci
0–1
D. de Almeida
ℹ️
Ron Raçi
VAR: Goal confirmed
Half-time 0–1
J. C. Silva
🔁
↦ E. Otieno
Michael Ameyaw
🟨
🟨
Niko Sigur
1–1 L. Diaby-Fadiga
⚽
🟨
Mathieu Acapandié
⚽
M. Sego
1–2
M. Soticek
🔁
A. Sutalo
↦ A. Sanyang
V. Kochergin
🔁
↦ K. Struski
🔁
D. Melnjak
↦ M. Acapandie
🔁
A. del Moral
↦ D. de Almeida
🔁
A. Huram
↦ M. Soticek
A. Molnar
🔁
↦ P. Makuch
I. Brusberg
🔁
↦ M. Ameyaw
2–2 M. Emreli
⚽
Mahir Emreli
🟨
A. Brorsson
🔁
↦ F. Tudor
🔁
M. Livaja
↦ M. Sego
⚽
R. Pukstas
2–3
D. Maresic
🔁
A. Van Hoorenbeeck
↦ D. Maresic
O. Kwiatkowski
🔁
↦ L. Diaby-Fadiga
Full-time 2–3
Line-ups
Rakow
3-4-3
1
K. Trelowski
G
K. Trelowski
G
7
F. Tudor
D
F. Tudor
D
25
B. Racovitan
D
B. Racovitan
D
4
S. Svarnas
D
S. Svarnas
D
19
M. Ameyaw
M
M. Ameyaw
M
6
O. Repka
M
O. Repka
M
23
K. Struski
M
K. Struski
M
26
E. Otieno
M
E. Otieno
M
80
L. Diaby-Fadiga
F
L. Diaby-Fadiga
F
11
M. Emreli
F
M. Emreli
F
9
P. Makuch
F
P. Makuch
F
Bench (12)
71
T. Karic
29
W. Zolneczko
2
J. Napieraj
3
A. Brorsson
77
D. G. Debohi
10
V. Kochergin
21
T. Pienko
17
J. Jendryka
20
J. C. Silva
88
A. Molnar
15
O. Kwiatkowski
39
I. Brusberg
Coach: Dawid Kroczek
HNK Hajduk Split
4-2-3-1
33
T. Silic
G
22
M. Acapandie
D
15
D. Maresic
D
14
R. Raci
D
32
S. Hrgovic
D
8
N. Sigur
M
N. Sigur
M
21
R. Pukstas
M
R. Pukstas
M
7
A. Sanyang
M
9
D. de Almeida
M
23
M. Soticek
M
11
M. Sego
F
Bench (12)
44
D. Stipica
1
I. Ivusic
5
A. Van Hoorenbeeck
17
D. Melnjak
36
M. Skelin
38
L. Hodak
20
A. del Moral
26
A. Huram
19
E. Brruti
16
A. Sutalo
3
R. Gabric
10
M. Livaja
Coach: Gonzalo Garcia
Odds comparison
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Recent matches
20. Aug
ECL
1 month ago
HNK Hajduk Split
Rakow
2
2
1–
X–
2–
+2,5
BLS
U
16. Aug
EK
1 month ago
Cracovia
Rakow
2
1
12,41
X3,16
22,77
+2,5
BLS
T
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13. Aug
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1 month ago
Hammarby
Rakow
0
1
1–
X–
2–
−2,5
BLS
S
6. Aug
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1 month ago
Rakow
Hammarby
0
0
1–
X–
2–
−2,5
BLS
U
2. Aug
EK
1 month ago
Slask Wroclaw
Rakow
2
1
12,91
X3,33
22,21
+2,5
BLS
T
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The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.