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Ekstraklasa
Referee: Paweł Raczkowski
Cracovia
U U U T U
2–1
Full-time
Rakow
T S T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cracovia Rakow
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,8
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
17%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
1,7
2,5
Scored
0,7
1,7
Conceded
1,0
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Ekstraklasa · 3/2 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,7
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
0%
100%
Both score Ø 50%
0%
100%
Average goals
0,7
3,0
Scored
0,0
1,0
Conceded
0,7
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

2,74 xG 0,85
42% Possession 58%
18 Shots 14
8 Shots on target 3
5 Blocked shots 5
3 Goalkeeper saves 6
7 Corners 5
1 Offside 2
14 Free kicks against 11
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Cracovia 17. · Rakow 18.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Legia 4 3 1 0 +8 +3.9 10
2 Lech Poznan 3 2 1 0 +4 +2.3 7
3 Pogon Szczecin 3 2 0 1 +3 -0.8 6
4 Gornik Zabrze 2 2 0 0 +3 -0.6 6
5 Wisla 3 2 0 1 +1 +3.4 6
6 Zaglebie 3 2 0 1 +1 -0.6 6
7 Jagiellonia 3 2 0 1 +0 -0.8 6
8 Widzew Lodz 4 1 2 1 +1 +1.6 5
9 Korona Kielce 3 1 1 1 +0 -0.5 4
10 Wisla Plock 3 1 1 1 +0 -1.0 4
11 Slask Wroclaw 4 1 1 2 -1 -1.1 4
12 Motor Lublin 4 1 1 2 -2 +0.5 4
13 GKS Katowice 3 1 0 2 +0 -2.2 3
14 Wieczysta Krakow 3 1 0 2 -1 -0.5 3
15 Piast Gliwice 4 1 0 3 -5 -4.3 3
16 Radomiak Radom 4 1 0 3 -8 -2.4 3
17 Cracovia 3 0 2 1 -2 +1.1 2
18 Rakow 2 0 0 2 -2 +2.1 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Cracovia Rakow
31′
P. Makuch 0–1
M. Emreli
Half-time 0–1
53′
🟨 Didí Gaucho
Ajdin Hasić
penalty missed
56′
1–1 A. Hasic
56′
57′
🔁 V. Kochergin
↦ D. G. Debohi
57′
🔁 E. Otieno
↦ M. Ameyaw
66′
🔁 O. Kwiatkowski
↦ T. Pienko
66′
🔁 L. Diaby-Fadiga
↦ P. Makuch
M. Praszelik 🔁
↦ K. Zahiroleslam
70′
2–1 D. Pila
M. Klich
75′
76′
🔁 A. Molnar
↦ K. Struski
B. Selan 🔁
↦ M. Klich
79′
O. Kakabadze 🔁
↦ A. Hasic
84′
K. Smiglewski 🔁
↦ D. Kameri
84′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Cracovia

4-2-3-1
13 S. Madejski G
79 D. Pila D
4 G. Henriksson D
61 B. Traore D
39 M. Perkovic D
43 M. Klich M
6 A. Al Ammari M
14 A. Hasic M
70 D. Kameri M
17 M. Minchev M
18 K. Zahiroleslam F
Bench (12)
23 H. Ravas
77 J. Chrapusta
28 V. Burlet
15 K. Glik
25 O. Kakabadze
7 M. Praszelik
92 M. Skoczylas
19 M. Tabisz
29 W. Dej
5 B. Selan
21 K. Smiglewski
9 W. Bogacz

Coach: Bartosz Grzelak

Rakow

3-4-3
1 K. Trelowski G
77 D. G. Debohi
25 B. Racovitan D
2 J. Napieraj D
20 J. C. Silva M
6 O. Repka M
23 K. Struski M
19 M. Ameyaw M
9 P. Makuch F
11 M. Emreli F
21 T. Pienko F
Bench (12)
71 T. Karic
4 S. Svarnas
10 V. Kochergin
22 O. Abraham
17 J. Jendryka
26 E. Otieno
88 A. Molnar
15 O. Kwiatkowski
80 L. Diaby-Fadiga
36 M. Perovic
39 I. Brusberg
99 A. Basse

Coach: Dawid Kroczek

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Paweł Raczkowski · 17 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.