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Ekstraklasa
Referee: P Malec
Zaglebie
S T T U S
0–1
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Zaglebie Pogon Szczecin
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
1,8
2,8
Scored
0,8
1,5
Conceded
1,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Ekstraklasa · 32/32 matches
Win Ø 40%
41%
38%
Points per game
1,5
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 52%
47%
56%
Both score Ø 55%
50%
59%
Average goals
2,5
2,9
Scored
1,4
1,4
Conceded
1,1
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,1
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,56 xG 1,97
30% Possession 70%
10 Shots 17
3 Shots on target 5
1 Blocked shots 6
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
3 Corners 6
6 Offside 4
8 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Zaglebie 5. · Pogon Szczecin 13.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Lech Poznan 32 15 11 6 +15 +27.8 56
2 Jagiellonia 32 14 10 8 +14 -5.9 52
3 Gornik Zabrze 32 14 8 10 +7 -3.6 50
4 Rakow 32 14 7 11 +6 +10.3 49
5 Zaglebie 32 13 9 10 +9 -7.3 48
6 GKS Katowice 32 14 6 12 +6 -5.4 48
7 Wisla Plock 32 12 9 11 -3 -2.2 45
8 Radomiak Radom 32 11 11 10 +5 -1.4 44
9 Legia 32 10 13 9 +0 +3.1 43
10 Lechia Gdansk 32 12 7 13 -1 +5.6 43
11 Motor Lublin 32 10 12 10 -3 -9.9 42
12 Piast Gliwice 32 11 8 13 -1 -0.8 41
13 Pogon Szczecin 32 12 5 15 -3 +4.2 41
14 Cracovia 32 9 13 10 -3 +2.5 40
15 Widzew Lodz 32 11 6 15 +0 +4.2 39
16 Korona Kielce 32 10 9 13 -1 -3.8 39
17 Arka Gdynia 32 9 9 14 -23 -8.2 36
18 Nieciecza 32 7 7 18 -24 -9.1 28

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Zaglebie Pogon Szczecin
A. Radwanski 🔁
↦ J. Kolan
11′
Half-time 0–0
L. Szabo 🔁
↦ M. Kosidis
46′
T. Makowski 🔁
↦ S. Kowalczyk
46′
71′
🟨 Attila Szalai
Levente Szabó 🟨
74′
74′
🔁 K. Grosicki
↦ P. Mukairu
74′
🔁 H. Ali
↦ L. Wahlqvist
J. Sypek 🔁
77′
79′
H. Ali 0–1
83′
🔁 Leo Borges
↦ L. Koutris
85′
🟨 Hussein Ali
M. Mlinaric 🔁
↦ M. Grzybek
85′
87′
🟨 Valentin Cojocaru
87′
🔁 B. Mendy
↦ M. Agger
87′
🔁 D. Loncar
↦ N. Lawa
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Zaglebie

5-4-1
1 J. Buric G
13 M. Grzybek D
39 F. Kocaba D
25 M. Nalepa D
4 D. Michalski D
16 J. Corluka D
44 M. Regula M
26 J. Kolan M
8 D. Dabrowski M
7 S. Kowalczyk M
9 M. Kosidis F
Bench (11)
12 R. Gikiewicz
35 L. Lucic
18 A. Radwanski
19 J. Sypek
88 M. Mlinaric
31 I. Orlikowski
20 M. Dziewiatowski
84 J. Ligocki
11 A. Wozniak
17 L. Szabo
6 T. Makowski

Coach: Leszek Ojrzynski

Pogon Szczecin

4-4-2
77 V. Cojocaru G
28 L. Wahlqvist D
13 D. Keramitsis D
41 A. Szalai D
32 L. Koutris D
25 M. Agger M
8 F. Ulvestad M
6 J. Bieganski M
18 P. Mukairu M
10 F. Cuic F
47 N. Lawa F
Bench (10)
31 K. Kaminski
11 K. Grosicki
24 K. Angielski
15 H. Ali
90 S. Greenwood
4 Leo Borges
23 B. Mendy
3 K. Acosta
22 D. Loncar
30 J. Czaplinski

Coach: Thomas Thomasberg

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

P Malec · 48 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,7 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.