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Ekstraklasa

Referee: S Marciniak

Pogon Szczecin

T S U T S

3–1

Full-time

Motor Lublin

S U T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Pogon Szczecin Motor Lublin

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,7

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

33%

83%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,3

3,7

Scored

1,5

1,7

Conceded

0,8

2,0

Goal diff per game

+0,7

-0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Ekstraklasa · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

1,5

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

100%

Both score Ø 50%

100%

Average goals

1,5

3,5

Scored

1,0

1,5

Conceded

0,5

2,0

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

2,22 xG 0,92

44% Possession 56%

15 Shots 16

6 Shots on target 4

3 Blocked shots 4

3 Goalkeeper saves 3

2 Corners 4

1 Offside 0

11 Free kicks against 9

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Pogon Szczecin 8. · Motor Lublin 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Gornik Zabrze	2	2	0	0	+3	-0.6	6
2	Legia	2	2	0	0	+3	+2.6	6
3	Jagiellonia	2	2	0	0	+2	-0.8	6
4	Wisla	3	2	0	1	+1	+3.4	6
5	Lech Poznan	2	1	1	0	+1	+0.5	4
6	Wisla Plock	3	1	1	1	+0	-1.0	4
7	GKS Katowice	2	1	0	1	+1	-0.3	3
8	Pogon Szczecin	2	1	0	1	+1	-2.1	3
9	Slask Wroclaw	2	1	0	1	+0	-0.6	3
10	Zaglebie	2	1	0	1	+0	-0.3	3
11	Piast Gliwice	2	1	0	1	-1	-2.0	3
12	Radomiak Radom	3	1	0	2	-3	-1.1	3
13	Widzew Lodz	2	0	2	0	+0	+1.4	2
14	Motor Lublin	2	0	1	1	-1	-0.0	1
15	Cracovia	2	0	1	1	-2	+0.3	1
16	Korona Kielce	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.4	0
17	Rakow	2	0	0	2	-2	+2.1	0
18	Wieczysta Krakow	2	0	0	2	-2	-1.0	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Wisla	2	2	0	0	+2	+1.8	6
2	Legia	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.7	3
3	GKS Katowice	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.2	3
4	Zaglebie	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.4	3
5	Piast Gliwice	1	1	0	0	+1	-1.6	3
6	Slask Wroclaw	1	1	0	0	+1	-1.5	3
7	Gornik Zabrze	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.9	3
8	Jagiellonia	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.4	3
9	Radomiak Radom	2	1	0	1	-1	+0.1	3
10	Widzew Lodz	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.2	1
11	Lech Poznan	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.1	1
12	Wisla Plock	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.2	1
13	Rakow	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.6	0
14	Motor Lublin	1	0	0	1	-1	+1.2	0
15	Wieczysta Krakow	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.6	0
16	Pogon Szczecin	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.9	0
17	Cracovia	1	0	0	1	-2	+0.2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Gornik Zabrze	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.3	3
2	Pogon Szczecin	1	1	0	0	+2	-0.2	3
3	Jagiellonia	1	1	0	0	+1	-1.2	3
4	Lech Poznan	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.6	3
5	Legia	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.9	3
6	Wisla Plock	2	1	0	1	+0	-0.9	3
7	Motor Lublin	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.2	1
8	Cracovia	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.1	1
9	Widzew Lodz	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.2	1
10	Wisla	1	0	0	1	-1	+1.6	0
11	GKS Katowice	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.6	0
12	Rakow	1	0	0	1	-1	+1.5	0
13	Wieczysta Krakow	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.4	0
14	Slask Wroclaw	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.9	0
15	Korona Kielce	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.4	0
16	Zaglebie	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.7	0
17	Radomiak Radom	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.2	0
18	Piast Gliwice	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.