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Ekstraklasa

Referee: P Malec

Pogon Szczecin

T T S S U

3–0

Full-time

Zaglebie

T S U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Pogon Szczecin Zaglebie

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

67%

Both score Ø 42%

67%

17%

Average goals

2,8

1,2

Scored

1,2

0,5

Conceded

1,7

0,7

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-0,2

This season — Ekstraklasa · 5/6 matches

Win Ø 47%

60%

33%

Points per game

2,0

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 40%

80%

Both score Ø 49%

80%

17%

Average goals

2,8

1,2

Scored

1,6

0,5

Conceded

1,2

0,7

Goal diff per game

+0,4

-0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

58% Possession 42%

15 Shots 14

10 Shots on target 4

2 Blocked shots 3

4 Goalkeeper saves 7

3 Corners 2

0 Offside 1

8 Free kicks against 11

0 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Pogon Szczecin 5. · Zaglebie 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Wisla Plock	6	5	1	0	+13	16
2	Legia	7	4	2	1	+3	14
3	Radomiak Radom	7	3	2	2	+0	11
4	Cracovia	6	3	1	2	+4	10
5	Pogon Szczecin	5	3	1	1	+2	10
6	Korona Kielce	7	3	1	3	+1	10
7	Stal Mielec	7	3	1	3	+0	10
8	Slask Wroclaw	6	2	3	1	+0	9
9	Gornik Zabrze	6	2	2	2	+0	8
10	Jagiellonia	7	2	2	3	-1	8
11	Zaglebie	6	2	2	2	-1	8
12	Rakow	4	2	1	1	+1	7
13	Widzew Lodz	6	2	1	3	+0	7
14	Piast Gliwice	5	2	0	3	+0	6
15	Warta Poznan	6	2	0	4	-5	6
16	Legnica	6	1	1	4	-5	4
17	Lechia Gdansk	5	1	0	4	-7	3
18	Lech Poznan	4	0	1	3	-5	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Wisla Plock	3	3	0	0	+7	9
2	Legia	3	2	1	0	+4	7
3	Rakow	3	2	1	0	+2	7
4	Pogon Szczecin	3	2	1	0	+2	7
5	Cracovia	3	2	0	1	+4	6
6	Jagiellonia	4	2	0	2	+0	6
7	Slask Wroclaw	3	1	2	0	+1	5
8	Korona Kielce	3	1	1	1	+1	4
9	Stal Mielec	3	1	1	1	+1	4
10	Radomiak Radom	4	1	1	2	-2	4
11	Gornik Zabrze	4	1	1	2	-3	4
12	Piast Gliwice	2	1	0	1	+3	3
13	Legnica	3	1	0	2	-1	3
14	Zaglebie	3	0	2	1	-1	2
15	Lechia Gdansk	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Widzew Lodz	2	0	0	2	-2	0
17	Lech Poznan	3	0	0	3	-5	0
18	Warta Poznan	3	0	0	3	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Wisla Plock	3	2	1	0	+6	7
2	Radomiak Radom	3	2	1	0	+2	7
3	Widzew Lodz	4	2	1	1	+2	7
4	Legia	4	2	1	1	-1	7
5	Warta Poznan	3	2	0	1	+1	6
6	Korona Kielce	4	2	0	2	+0	6
7	Zaglebie	3	2	0	1	+0	6
8	Stal Mielec	4	2	0	2	-1	6
9	Gornik Zabrze	2	1	1	0	+3	4
10	Cracovia	3	1	1	1	+0	4
11	Slask Wroclaw	3	1	1	1	-1	4
12	Pogon Szczecin	2	1	0	1	+0	3
13	Piast Gliwice	3	1	0	2	-3	3
14	Lechia Gdansk	4	1	0	3	-6	3
15	Jagiellonia	3	0	2	1	-1	2
16	Lech Poznan	1	0	1	0	+0	1
17	Legnica	3	0	1	2	-4	1
18	Rakow	1	0	0	1	-1	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.