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Ekstraklasa

Referee: P Raczkowski

Pogon Szczecin

S U S T S

2–2

Full-time

Lech Poznan

U S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Pogon Szczecin Lech Poznan

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

67%

Points per game

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

2,5

2,8

Scored

1,7

2,0

Conceded

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,8

+1,2

This season — Ekstraklasa · 8/7 matches

Win Ø 53%

63%

43%

Points per game

2,0

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 52%

75%

29%

Both score Ø 46%

63%

29%

Average goals

2,6

2,1

Scored

1,6

1,1

Conceded

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,6

+0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

44% Possession 56%

14 Shots 16

5 Shots on target 4

2 Blocked shots 6

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

5 Corners 5

1 Offside 0

8 Free kicks against 12

2 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Pogon Szczecin 3. · Lech Poznan 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Wisla Plock	9	5	2	2	+10	17
2	Legia	8	5	2	1	+4	17
3	Pogon Szczecin	8	5	1	2	+5	16
4	Radomiak Radom	9	4	2	3	+1	14
5	Cracovia	9	4	1	4	+3	13
6	Stal Mielec	8	4	1	3	+2	13
7	Rakow	7	4	1	2	+2	13
8	Widzew Lodz	9	4	1	4	+1	13
9	Slask Wroclaw	9	3	3	3	-4	12
10	Korona Kielce	9	3	2	4	+0	11
11	Warta Poznan	9	3	2	4	-3	11
12	Lech Poznan	7	3	1	3	+1	10
13	Gornik Zabrze	8	2	4	2	+0	10
14	Piast Gliwice	8	3	1	4	+0	10
15	Zaglebie	9	2	4	3	-4	10
16	Jagiellonia	8	2	3	3	-1	9
17	Legnica	8	1	2	5	-6	5
18	Lechia Gdansk	8	1	1	6	-11	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Wisla Plock	4	3	1	0	+7	10
2	Pogon Szczecin	4	3	1	0	+5	10
3	Legia	4	3	1	0	+5	10
4	Rakow	4	3	1	0	+3	10
5	Cracovia	5	3	0	2	+5	9
6	Slask Wroclaw	5	2	2	1	-1	8
7	Stal Mielec	4	2	1	1	+3	7
8	Radomiak Radom	5	2	1	2	+0	7
9	Piast Gliwice	3	2	0	1	+4	6
10	Widzew Lodz	4	2	0	2	+1	6
11	Jagiellonia	4	2	0	2	+0	6
12	Lech Poznan	5	2	0	3	-2	6
13	Gornik Zabrze	5	1	2	2	-3	5
14	Korona Kielce	4	1	1	2	+0	4
15	Legnica	4	1	1	2	-1	4
16	Zaglebie	4	0	3	1	-1	3
17	Lechia Gdansk	3	0	1	2	-4	1
18	Warta Poznan	4	0	1	3	-6	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Warta Poznan	5	3	1	1	+3	10
2	Wisla Plock	5	2	1	2	+3	7
3	Radomiak Radom	4	2	1	1	+1	7
4	Korona Kielce	5	2	1	2	+0	7
5	Widzew Lodz	5	2	1	2	+0	7
6	Legia	4	2	1	1	-1	7
7	Zaglebie	5	2	1	2	-3	7
8	Pogon Szczecin	4	2	0	2	+0	6
9	Stal Mielec	4	2	0	2	-1	6
10	Gornik Zabrze	3	1	2	0	+3	5
11	Lech Poznan	2	1	1	0	+3	4
12	Cracovia	4	1	1	2	-2	4
13	Slask Wroclaw	4	1	1	2	-3	4
14	Piast Gliwice	5	1	1	3	-4	4
15	Jagiellonia	4	0	3	1	-1	3
16	Rakow	3	1	0	2	-1	3
17	Lechia Gdansk	5	1	0	4	-7	3
18	Legnica	4	0	1	3	-5	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.