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Ekstraklasa
Referee: W Myć
Legnica
U T T T T
2–1
Full-time
Lechia Gdansk
U T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Legnica Lechia Gdansk
Last 6 — all competitions · 5/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
0%
17%
Points per game
0,2
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 64%
60%
67%
Both score Ø 65%
80%
50%
Average goals
2,8
2,8
Scored
0,8
0,8
Conceded
2,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
-1,2
-1,2
This season — Ekstraklasa · 5/4 matches
Win Ø 13%
0%
25%
Points per game
0,2
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 68%
60%
75%
Both score Ø 65%
80%
50%
Average goals
2,8
3,5
Scored
0,8
1,0
Conceded
2,0
2,5
Goal diff per game
-1,2
-1,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

29% Possession 71%
6 Shots 18
3 Shots on target 6
1 Blocked shots 4
5 Goalkeeper saves 1
4 Corners 16
1 Offside 3
9 Free kicks against 11
2 Yellow cards 3
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Legnica 18. · Lechia Gdansk 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Wisla Plock 6 5 1 0 +13 16
2 Legia 7 4 2 1 +3 14
3 Radomiak Radom 7 3 2 2 +0 11
4 Cracovia 6 3 1 2 +4 10
5 Pogon Szczecin 5 3 1 1 +2 10
6 Korona Kielce 7 3 1 3 +1 10
7 Stal Mielec 7 3 1 3 +0 10
8 Slask Wroclaw 6 2 3 1 +0 9
9 Gornik Zabrze 6 2 2 2 +0 8
10 Jagiellonia 7 2 2 3 -1 8
11 Zaglebie 6 2 2 2 -1 8
12 Rakow 4 2 1 1 +1 7
13 Widzew Lodz 6 2 1 3 +0 7
14 Piast Gliwice 5 2 0 3 +0 6
15 Warta Poznan 6 2 0 4 -5 6
16 Lechia Gdansk 4 1 0 3 -6 3
17 Lech Poznan 4 0 1 3 -5 1
18 Legnica 5 0 1 4 -6 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Legnica Lechia Gdansk
1–0 S. Naveda
5′
Levent Gülen 🟨
9′
Santiago Naveda ℹ️
VAR: Card upgrade
30′
Santiago Naveda 🟥
31′
Half-time 2–0
2–0 L. Narsingh
O. Kobacki
46′
47′
M. Gajos 2–1
İ. Durmuş
Olaf Kobacki 🟨
52′
56′
🔁 M. Terrazzino
↦ T. Neugebauer
56′
🔁 D. Piła
↦ B. Diabaté
58′
🟨 Kristers Tobers
S. Matuszek 🔁
↦ M. Dominguez
62′
M. Śliwa 🔁
↦ O. Kobacki
62′
K. Zapolnik 🔁
↦ L. Narsingh
62′
70′
🟨 Ilkay Durmus
71′
🔁 K. Sezonienko
↦ J. Kubicki
71′
🔁 Conrado
↦ R. Pietrzak
76′
🔁 C. Clemens
↦ D. Stec
J. Gammelby 🔁
↦ Á. Henríquez
82′
86′
🟨 Dušan Kuciak
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Legnica

4-1-4-1
1 P. Lenarcik G
2 C. Julio Martínez D
25 N. Mijušković D
5 L. Gülen D
3 H. Matynia D
19 J. Cacciabue M
9 L. Narsingh M
10 M. Dominguez M
15 S. Naveda M
79 O. Kobacki M
7 Á. Henríquez F
Bench (9)
6 S. Matuszek
70 M. Śliwa
18 K. Zapolnik
99 J. Gammelby
11 Koldo Obieta
31 M. Abramowicz
59 M. Lehaire
8 Chuca
13 Jon Aurtenetxe

Coach: W. Łobodziński

Lechia Gdansk

4-1-4-1
12 D. Kuciak G
29 D. Stec D
4 K. Tobers D
23 M. Maloča D
2 R. Pietrzak D
77 T. Neugebauer M
10 B. Diabaté M
7 M. Gajos M
6 J. Kubicki M
99 İ. Durmuş M
9 L. Zwoliński F
Bench (8)
33 M. Terrazzino
11 D. Piła
79 K. Sezonienko
20 Conrado
17 C. Clemens
88 J. Kałuziński
3 H. Castegren
1 M. Buchalik

Coach: T. Kaczmarek

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

W Myć · 62 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,09 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.