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Allsvenskan
Referee: Mohammed Al-Hakim
AIK
S S U S U
0–0
Full-time
Hammarby
S U S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

AIK Hammarby
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,3
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,8
3,0
Scored
1,8
1,8
Conceded
1,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Allsvenskan · 9/9 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,3
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 44%
44%
44%
Both score Ø 50%
56%
44%
Average goals
2,8
2,9
Scored
1,8
2,1
Conceded
1,0
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+1,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,15 xG 0,63
41% Possession 59%
15 Shots 9
2 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
7 Corners 4
0 Offside 2
12 Free kicks against 11
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match AIK 1. · Hammarby 3.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 AIK 9 6 3 0 +7 +0.8 21
2 Mjallby 9 6 2 1 +12 +2.0 20
3 Hammarby 9 6 2 1 +12 +7.1 20
4 Elfsborg 9 6 1 2 +5 +4.7 19
5 Malmo FF 9 4 3 2 +4 +6.7 15
6 Degerfors 9 4 1 4 -1 +0.2 13
7 GAIS 9 2 5 2 +1 +0.5 11
8 Djurgarden 8 3 2 3 -2 -0.4 11
9 Hacken 9 3 2 4 -3 +1.0 11
10 Norrkoping 9 3 1 5 -1 -2.7 10
11 Brommapojkarna 8 3 1 4 -1 -0.1 10
12 Goteborg 9 3 1 5 -5 +0.9 10
13 Halmstad 9 3 1 5 -9 -7.7 10
14 Sirius 9 2 3 4 -3 -5.1 9
15 Oster 9 2 0 7 -7 -5.2 6
16 Varnamo 9 0 2 7 -9 -2.7 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

AIK Hammarby
Bersant Celina 🟨
11′
11′
🟨 Pavle Vagić
12′
🟨 Sebastian Tounekti
Dino Beširović 🟨
43′
Half-time 0–0
J. Uronen 🔁
↦ D. Besirovic
58′
82′
🔁 S. Strand
↦ S. Tounekti
82′
🔁 M. Madjed
↦ P. Abraham
J. Hove 🔁
↦ V. Andersson
86′
A. Kakoullis 🔁
↦ J. Guidetti
91′
Thomas Isherwood 🟨
92′
92′
🟨 Abdelrahman Boudah
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

AIK

5-4-1
15 K. Nordfeldt G
17 M. Thychosen D
32 F. Benkovic D
4 S. Papagiannopoulos D
3 T. Isherwood D
19 D. Besirovic D
43 V. Andersson
7 A. Saletros M
10 B. Celina M
33 A. Csongvai M
11 J. Guidetti F
Bench (9)
30 K. Joelsson
26 E. van der Laan
22 J. Uronen
16 B. Tiedemann
5 K. Karlsson
47 A. Fesshaie
45 T. Ayari
8 J. Hove
9 A. Kakoullis

Coach: Mikkjal Kjartansson Thomassen

Hammarby

4-3-3
1 W. Hahn G
2 H. Skoglund D
6 P. Vagic D
4 V. Eriksson D
19 S. Pinas D
8 M. Karlsson M
5 T. Tekie M
20 N. Besara M
7 P. Abraham F
23 A. Boudah F
18 S. Tounekti F
Bench (9)
27 F. Jakobsson
17 I. Fofana
21 S. Strand
13 J. Karlsson
22 J. Ortmark
15 A. Lahdo
16 G. Elezaj
26 M. Madjed
29 M. Kabore

Coach: Kim Alexander Hellberg

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U ✓
B
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Mohammed Al-Hakim · 46 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,9 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,11 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.