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Allsvenskan

Referee: K Karlsson

Hammarby

T S T S T

2–1

Full-time

AIK

S T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hammarby AIK

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,0

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 84%

100%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

3,0

4,7

Scored

1,2

2,0

Conceded

1,8

2,7

Goal diff per game

-0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Allsvenskan · 9/9 matches

Win Ø 44%

44%

Points per game

1,3

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 73%

89%

56%

Both score Ø 62%

67%

56%

Average goals

3,0

3,9

Scored

1,4

1,8

Conceded

1,6

2,1

Goal diff per game

-0,1

-0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,97 xG 0,70

58% Possession 42%

14 Shots 11

5 Shots on target 3

1 Blocked shots 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

3 Corners 4

2 Offside 1

13 Free kicks against 13

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Hammarby 9. · AIK 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Malmo FF	9	8	0	1	+19	+10.1	24
2	Djurgarden	9	6	1	2	+12	+0.8	19
3	Mjallby	9	5	2	2	+8	+1.0	17
4	Hacken	9	5	1	3	+3	-1.4	16
5	GAIS	9	5	0	4	-1	-1.4	15
6	Halmstad	9	5	0	4	-2	-3.6	15
7	AIK	9	4	2	3	-3	-2.2	14
8	Elfsborg	9	4	1	4	+2	+2.5	13
9	Hammarby	9	4	0	5	-1	+1.0	12
10	Sirius	9	3	2	4	-2	+1.4	11
11	Varnamo	9	3	2	4	-5	-4.5	11
12	Norrkoping	9	3	2	4	-8	-4.1	11
13	Brommapojkarna	9	2	4	3	-3	+2.9	10
14	Goteborg	9	2	2	5	-5	-1.7	8
15	Kalmar	9	2	1	6	-4	-2.9	7
16	Vasteras SK	9	1	0	8	-10	+2.3	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Malmo FF	4	4	0	0	+9	+3.1	12
2	AIK	5	4	0	1	+7	-0.3	12
3	Mjallby	5	3	2	0	+7	+0.7	11
4	Elfsborg	5	3	1	1	+8	+1.8	10
5	Djurgarden	5	3	1	1	+4	-2.1	10
6	Hammarby	4	3	0	1	+5	+1.0	9
7	Hacken	5	3	0	2	+2	-1.4	9
8	Halmstad	5	3	0	2	+1	-0.2	9
9	GAIS	4	3	0	1	+0	-0.1	9
10	Norrkoping	4	2	0	2	-2	-3.2	6
11	Kalmar	5	1	1	3	+0	-1.4	4
12	Sirius	4	1	1	2	-1	+1.5	4
13	Vasteras SK	5	1	0	4	-5	+1.9	3
14	Brommapojkarna	4	0	2	2	-8	+0.5	2
15	Varnamo	4	0	1	3	-7	-2.1	1
16	Goteborg	4	0	1	3	-7	-3.6	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Malmo FF	5	4	0	1	+10	+7.0	12
2	Varnamo	5	3	1	1	+2	-2.4	10
3	Djurgarden	4	3	0	1	+8	+2.8	9
4	Brommapojkarna	5	2	2	1	+5	+2.4	8
5	Goteborg	5	2	1	2	+2	+1.9	7
6	Hacken	4	2	1	1	+1	–	7
7	Sirius	5	2	1	2	-1	-0.0	7
8	Mjallby	4	2	0	2	+1	+0.3	6
9	GAIS	5	2	0	3	-1	-1.3	6
10	Halmstad	4	2	0	2	-3	-3.4	6
11	Norrkoping	5	1	2	2	-6	-0.9	5
12	Kalmar	4	1	0	3	-4	-1.6	3
13	Hammarby	5	1	0	4	-6	–	3
14	Elfsborg	4	1	0	3	-6	+0.6	3
15	AIK	4	0	2	2	-10	-1.9	2
16	Vasteras SK	4	0	0	4	-5	+0.4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.