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Allsvenskan

Referee: Richard Sundell

AIK

T S S S U

0–3

Full-time

Orgryte

U T S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

AIK Orgryte

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

67%

17%

Points per game

2,2

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

2,3

3,0

Scored

1,3

1,0

Conceded

1,0

2,0

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-1,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Allsvenskan · 14/14 matches

Win Ø 29%

43%

14%

Points per game

1,6

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 54%

57%

50%

Both score Ø 57%

64%

50%

Average goals

2,6

3,4

Scored

1,3

1,0

Conceded

1,3

2,4

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-1,4

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

67% Possession 33%

13 Shots 13

1 Shots on target 7

5 Blocked shots 3

4 Goalkeeper saves 1

5 Corners 2

2 Offside 1

10 Free kicks against 6

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match AIK 7. · Orgryte 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Sirius	14	12	2	0	+23	+10.5	38
2	Hammarby	15	8	3	4	+18	+13.1	27
3	Hacken	15	6	7	2	+5	+6.7	25
4	Djurgarden	13	7	2	4	+12	+5.1	23
5	Malmo FF	15	7	2	6	+5	+4.2	23
6	Vasteras SK	14	6	4	4	+1	-1.2	22
7	AIK	14	6	4	4	+0	-10.1	22
8	Elfsborg	15	5	6	4	+2	-1.1	21
9	GAIS	15	5	5	5	+4	+3.6	20
10	Kalmar	15	5	3	7	-2	+2.0	18
11	Mjallby	14	4	5	5	+1	+2.8	17
12	Brommapojkarna	15	4	5	6	-4	-7.6	17
13	Goteborg	15	4	4	7	-14	+0.6	16
14	Degerfors	15	2	4	9	-14	-8.8	10
15	Orgryte	14	2	4	8	-19	-8.1	10
16	Halmstad	14	1	4	9	-18	-11.8	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Hammarby	8	6	1	1	+21	+10.0	19
2	Sirius	7	6	1	0	+12	+7.1	19
3	Kalmar	8	5	2	1	+7	+0.9	17
4	GAIS	8	4	3	1	+9	+1.6	15
5	Hacken	8	3	4	1	+1	+4.9	13
6	Elfsborg	8	3	3	2	+2	-1.5	12
7	Djurgarden	7	3	1	3	+7	+3.0	10
8	Malmo FF	7	3	0	4	+5	+4.6	9
9	Vasteras SK	7	2	3	2	+2	+1.6	9
10	AIK	6	3	0	3	-2	-1.4	9
11	Goteborg	7	2	2	3	-1	+4.2	8
12	Mjallby	6	2	1	3	+1	+3.6	7
13	Orgryte	7	1	4	2	-1	-0.9	7
14	Brommapojkarna	7	1	3	3	-2	-5.9	6
15	Halmstad	7	1	2	4	-7	-5.8	5
16	Degerfors	8	1	2	5	-8	-6.3	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Sirius	7	6	1	0	+11	+3.4	19
2	Malmo FF	8	4	2	2	+0	-0.4	14
3	Djurgarden	6	4	1	1	+5	+2.1	13
4	AIK	8	3	4	1	+2	-8.7	13
5	Vasteras SK	7	4	1	2	-1	-2.8	13
6	Hacken	7	3	3	1	+4	+1.8	12
7	Brommapojkarna	8	3	2	3	-2	-1.6	11
8	Mjallby	8	2	4	2	+0	-0.8	10
9	Elfsborg	7	2	3	2	+0	+0.4	9
10	Hammarby	7	2	2	3	-3	+3.0	8
11	Goteborg	8	2	2	4	-13	-3.7	8
12	GAIS	7	1	2	4	-5	+2.1	5
13	Degerfors	7	1	2	4	-6	-2.5	5
14	Orgryte	7	1	0	6	-18	-7.2	3
15	Halmstad	7	0	2	5	-11	-5.9	2
16	Kalmar	7	0	1	6	-9	+1.1	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.