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Allsvenskan

Referee: Glenn Nyberg

Elfsborg

T U T S T

4–3

Full-time

Goteborg

S T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Elfsborg Goteborg

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

33%

67%

Points per game

1,2

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,2

2,7

Scored

1,0

1,5

Conceded

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Allsvenskan · 16/16 matches

Win Ø 53%

56%

50%

Points per game

1,8

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

44%

56%

Both score Ø 44%

38%

50%

Average goals

2,9

2,7

Scored

1,7

1,3

Conceded

1,2

1,4

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-0,1

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–3

1,42 xG 2,38

58% Possession 42%

16 Shots 10

6 Shots on target 5

2 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

12 Corners 2

1 Offside 1

13 Free kicks against 14

2 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Elfsborg 6. · Goteborg 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Mjallby	18	13	4	1	+21	+3.6	43
2	Hammarby	18	12	3	3	+18	+12.5	39
3	Malmo FF	18	9	6	3	+14	+10.5	33
4	AIK	18	9	6	3	+8	+3.5	33
5	GAIS	17	8	7	2	+14	+7.2	31
6	Elfsborg	16	9	2	5	+8	+3.4	29
7	Djurgarden	17	7	4	6	+3	+4.4	25
8	Goteborg	16	8	1	7	-1	+0.8	25
9	Hacken	17	6	4	7	-6	+0.8	22
10	Brommapojkarna	17	6	1	10	-2	+0.0	19
11	Norrkoping	17	5	4	8	-4	-10.8	19
12	Halmstad	17	5	2	10	-20	-10.8	17
13	Degerfors	17	4	2	11	-18	-1.3	14
14	Sirius	17	3	4	10	-8	-5.7	13
15	Oster	17	3	4	10	-11	-9.3	13
16	Varnamo	17	1	4	12	-16	-8.6	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Hammarby	10	8	1	1	+13	+10.8	25
2	Mjallby	9	7	2	0	+12	+4.9	23
3	AIK	8	5	3	0	+10	+3.5	18
4	Malmo FF	8	5	2	1	+10	+7.4	17
5	Elfsborg	8	5	1	2	+6	+1.2	16
6	GAIS	8	4	3	1	+6	+4.8	15
7	Djurgarden	9	3	4	2	+3	+4.3	13
8	Halmstad	9	4	1	4	-6	-2.5	13
9	Hacken	9	3	2	4	-4	+3.3	11
10	Goteborg	8	3	1	4	+0	+1.4	10
11	Norrkoping	9	3	1	5	-2	-1.4	10
12	Sirius	8	2	1	5	-3	-0.6	7
13	Varnamo	9	1	3	5	-5	-4.4	6
14	Brommapojkarna	8	2	0	6	-5	+0.7	6
15	Oster	8	1	2	5	-6	-4.6	5
16	Degerfors	9	1	2	6	-12	+0.2	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Mjallby	9	6	2	1	+9	-1.3	20
2	GAIS	9	4	4	1	+8	+2.4	16
3	Malmo FF	10	4	4	2	+4	+3.1	16
4	Goteborg	8	5	0	3	-1	-0.6	15
5	AIK	10	4	3	3	-2	-0.1	15
6	Hammarby	8	4	2	2	+5	+1.7	14
7	Brommapojkarna	9	4	1	4	+3	-0.7	13
8	Elfsborg	8	4	1	3	+2	+2.2	13
9	Djurgarden	8	4	0	4	+0	+0.0	12
10	Hacken	8	3	2	3	-2	-2.5	11
11	Norrkoping	8	2	3	3	-2	-9.3	9
12	Degerfors	8	3	0	5	-6	-1.5	9
13	Oster	9	2	2	5	-5	-4.7	8
14	Sirius	9	1	3	5	-5	-5.1	6
15	Halmstad	8	1	1	6	-14	-8.3	4
16	Varnamo	8	0	1	7	-11	-4.3	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

12. Jul -25 Goteborg – Elfsborg 1–2 25. Aug -24 Elfsborg – Goteborg 3–1 1. Jun -24 Goteborg – Elfsborg 1–0 30. Oct -23 Goteborg – Elfsborg 1–2 16. Jul -23 Elfsborg – Goteborg 1–1

Match report

Elfsborg Goteborg

4′

⚽ T. Heintz 0–1

M. Fenger

14′

⚽ M. Fenger 0–2

S. Clemmensen

17′

🟨 Tobias Heintz

1–2 R. Wikstrom ⚽

S. Hedlund

19′

20′

⚽ S. Alioum 1–3

T. Heintz

Leo Östman 🟨

27′

Terry Yegbe 🟨

41′

Half-time 1–3

49′

🟨 Thomas Santos

A. Zeneli 🔁

↦ L. Ostman

59′

J. Larsson 🔁

↦ S. Holmen

59′

1–4 A. Erlingmark ⚽

own goal

62′

63′

🟨 David Kruse

P. Frick 🔁

↦ T. Silverholt

70′

71′

🔁 I. Jagne

↦ K. Thordarson

76′

🔁 R. Yeboah

↦ S. Clemmensen

76′

🔁 G. Svensson

↦ T. Santos

J. Thomasen 🔁

↦ Wenderson

84′

A. Sigurpalsson 🔁

↦ F. Ihler

84′

2–4 J. Larsson ⚽

S. Hedlund

90′

3–4 J. Larsson ⚽

90′

97′

🟨 Rockson Yeboah

Full-time 3–4

Line-ups

Elfsborg

3-4-3

S. Eriksson G

S. Holmen D

I. Buhari D

T. Yegbe D

R. Wikstrom M

5 Wenderson M

B. Zeneli M

S. Hedlund M

L. Ostman F

F. Ihler F

T. Silverholt F

Bench (9)

30 L. Hagg

7 J. Thomasen

9 A. Zeneli

13 J. Larsson

16 A. Hellemaa

17 P. Frick

18 J. Magnusson

25 A. Sigurpalsson

28 F. Aronsson

Coach: Oscar Karl Niclas Hiljemark

Goteborg

4-2-3-1

E. Bishesari G

T. Santos D

J. Bager

A. Erlingmark D

N. Tolf D

23 K. Thordarson

D. Kruse M

S. Alioum M

T. Heintz M

S. Clemmensen M

M. Fenger F

Bench (9)

1 P. Dahlberg

4 R. Yeboah

8 I. Jagne

10 H. Carneil

13 G. Svensson

16 L. Carlstrand

18 F. Eriksson

26 B. Brantlind

27 A. Boren

Coach: Stefan Bo Anders Billborn

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2

H ✓

–

🔒

–

🔒

–

🔒

Over/under goals

O1,5 ✓

–

🔒

U1,5

–

🔒

O2,5 ✓

–

🔒

U2,5

–

🔒

O3,5 ✓

–

🔒

U3,5

–

🔒

Both teams to score

BLS ja ✓

–

🔒

BLS nei

–

🔒

Recent matches

19. Jul AS 1 year ago

12. Jul AS 1 year ago

29. Jun AS 1 year ago

31. May AS 1 year ago

Referee

Glenn Nyberg · 27 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards

3,6 / match

Average

⚽ Free kicks

27,7 / match

Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,11 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.

How the model saw the match

Team trends

How the model assessed the goals markets

Most likely result

Match stats

Recent head-to-head meetings

Match report

Line-ups

Elfsborg

Goteborg

Odds comparison

Recent matches

Referee