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Allsvenskan

Referee: Oscar Johnson

Elfsborg

T T T S S

3–0

Full-time

Vasteras SK

S U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Elfsborg Vasteras SK

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

33%

67%

Points per game

1,2

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

67%

17%

Average goals

2,7

2,5

Scored

1,2

1,3

Conceded

1,5

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Allsvenskan · 16/16 matches

Win Ø 41%

38%

44%

Points per game

1,5

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

44%

56%

Both score Ø 60%

69%

50%

Average goals

2,4

3,4

Scored

1,3

1,6

Conceded

1,1

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

62% Possession 38%

15 Shots 5

7 Shots on target 0

2 Blocked shots 1

1 Goalkeeper saves 4

4 Corners 2

1 Offside 0

12 Free kicks against 17

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Elfsborg 7. · Vasteras SK 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Sirius	16	13	3	0	+25	+10.5	42
2	Hammarby	16	9	3	4	+21	+13.1	30
3	Djurgarden	15	8	2	5	+17	+5.1	26
4	Hacken	16	6	7	3	+2	+6.7	25
5	AIK	16	7	4	5	-2	-10.1	25
6	Vasteras SK	16	7	4	5	-4	-1.2	25
7	Elfsborg	16	6	6	4	+3	-1.1	24
8	GAIS	16	6	5	5	+6	+3.6	23
9	Malmo FF	16	7	2	7	+4	+4.2	23
10	Goteborg	16	5	4	7	-13	+0.6	19
11	Kalmar	16	5	3	8	-3	+2.0	18
12	Brommapojkarna	16	4	6	6	-4	-7.6	18
13	Mjallby	15	4	5	6	+0	+2.8	17
14	Degerfors	16	3	4	9	-13	-8.8	13
15	Orgryte	16	3	4	9	-17	-8.1	13
16	Halmstad	16	1	4	11	-22	-11.8	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Hammarby	9	7	1	1	+24	+10.0	22
2	Sirius	8	6	2	0	+12	+7.1	20
3	Kalmar	8	5	2	1	+7	+0.9	17
4	GAIS	8	4	3	1	+9	+1.6	15
5	Djurgarden	8	4	1	3	+13	+3.0	13
6	Hacken	8	3	4	1	+1	+4.9	13
7	Vasteras SK	8	3	3	2	+3	+1.6	12
8	Elfsborg	8	3	3	2	+2	-1.5	12
9	Goteborg	8	3	2	3	+0	+4.2	11
10	Malmo FF	8	3	0	5	+4	+4.6	9
11	AIK	7	3	0	4	-5	-1.4	9
12	Mjallby	7	2	1	4	+0	+3.6	7
13	Orgryte	8	1	4	3	-2	-0.9	7
14	Brommapojkarna	7	1	3	3	-2	-5.9	6
15	Degerfors	8	1	2	5	-8	-6.3	5
16	Halmstad	9	1	2	6	-11	-5.8	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Sirius	8	7	1	0	+13	+3.4	22
2	AIK	9	4	4	1	+3	-8.7	16
3	Malmo FF	8	4	2	2	+0	-0.4	14
4	Djurgarden	7	4	1	2	+4	+2.1	13
5	Vasteras SK	8	4	1	3	-7	-2.8	13
6	Hacken	8	3	3	2	+1	+1.8	12
7	Elfsborg	8	3	3	2	+1	+0.4	12
8	Brommapojkarna	9	3	3	3	-2	-1.6	12
9	Mjallby	8	2	4	2	+0	-0.8	10
10	GAIS	8	2	2	4	-3	+2.1	8
11	Hammarby	7	2	2	3	-3	+3.0	8
12	Degerfors	8	2	2	4	-5	-2.5	8
13	Goteborg	8	2	2	4	-13	-3.7	8
14	Orgryte	8	2	0	6	-15	-7.2	6
15	Halmstad	7	0	2	5	-11	-5.9	2
16	Kalmar	8	0	1	7	-10	+1.1	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.