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Allsvenskan

Referee: Erik Mattsson

Goteborg

T T S S T

3–2

Full-time

Kalmar

S T U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Goteborg Kalmar

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,5

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

3,0

2,8

Scored

1,5

1,3

Conceded

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Allsvenskan · 15/15 matches

Win Ø 30%

27%

33%

Points per game

1,1

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 53%

53%

Both score Ø 57%

60%

53%

Average goals

3,5

2,7

Scored

1,3

Conceded

2,2

1,4

Goal diff per game

-0,9

-0,1

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

52% Possession 48%

18 Shots 7

7 Shots on target 3

7 Blocked shots 3

1 Goalkeeper saves 5

13 Corners 1

2 Offside 1

6 Free kicks against 15

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Goteborg 13. · Kalmar 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Sirius	15	13	2	0	+25	+10.5	41
2	Hammarby	16	9	3	4	+21	+13.1	30
3	Djurgarden	14	8	2	4	+18	+5.1	26
4	Hacken	16	6	7	3	+2	+6.7	25
5	AIK	16	7	4	5	-2	-10.1	25
6	Elfsborg	16	6	6	4	+3	-1.1	24
7	Malmo FF	16	7	2	7	+4	+4.2	23
8	Vasteras SK	15	6	4	5	-5	-1.2	22
9	GAIS	15	5	5	5	+4	+3.6	20
10	Kalmar	15	5	3	7	-2	+2.0	18
11	Mjallby	15	4	5	6	+0	+2.8	17
12	Brommapojkarna	15	4	5	6	-4	-7.6	17
13	Goteborg	15	4	4	7	-14	+0.6	16
14	Degerfors	16	3	4	9	-13	-8.8	13
15	Orgryte	16	3	4	9	-17	-8.1	13
16	Halmstad	15	1	4	10	-20	-11.8	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Hammarby	9	7	1	1	+24	+10.0	22
2	Sirius	7	6	1	0	+12	+7.1	19
3	Kalmar	8	5	2	1	+7	+0.9	17
4	GAIS	8	4	3	1	+9	+1.6	15
5	Djurgarden	8	4	1	3	+13	+3.0	13
6	Hacken	8	3	4	1	+1	+4.9	13
7	Elfsborg	8	3	3	2	+2	-1.5	12
8	Malmo FF	8	3	0	5	+4	+4.6	9
9	Vasteras SK	7	2	3	2	+2	+1.6	9
10	AIK	7	3	0	4	-5	-1.4	9
11	Goteborg	7	2	2	3	-1	+4.2	8
12	Mjallby	7	2	1	4	+0	+3.6	7
13	Orgryte	8	1	4	3	-2	-0.9	7
14	Brommapojkarna	7	1	3	3	-2	-5.9	6
15	Degerfors	8	1	2	5	-8	-6.3	5
16	Halmstad	8	1	2	5	-9	-5.8	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Sirius	8	7	1	0	+13	+3.4	22
2	AIK	9	4	4	1	+3	-8.7	16
3	Malmo FF	8	4	2	2	+0	-0.4	14
4	Djurgarden	6	4	1	1	+5	+2.1	13
5	Vasteras SK	8	4	1	3	-7	-2.8	13
6	Hacken	8	3	3	2	+1	+1.8	12
7	Elfsborg	8	3	3	2	+1	+0.4	12
8	Brommapojkarna	8	3	2	3	-2	-1.6	11
9	Mjallby	8	2	4	2	+0	-0.8	10
10	Hammarby	7	2	2	3	-3	+3.0	8
11	Degerfors	8	2	2	4	-5	-2.5	8
12	Goteborg	8	2	2	4	-13	-3.7	8
13	Orgryte	8	2	0	6	-15	-7.2	6
14	GAIS	7	1	2	4	-5	+2.1	5
15	Halmstad	7	0	2	5	-11	-5.9	2
16	Kalmar	7	0	1	6	-9	+1.1	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.