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Allsvenskan

Referee: Richard Sundell

Varnamo

T T T T S

1–1

Full-time

Brommapojkarna

S T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Varnamo Brommapojkarna

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

0,5

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 58%

83%

33%

Average goals

4,5

2,2

Scored

1,7

1,0

Conceded

2,8

1,2

Goal diff per game

-1,2

-0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Allsvenskan · 26/26 matches

Win Ø 24%

12%

35%

Points per game

0,6

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 56%

62%

50%

Both score Ø 58%

69%

46%

Average goals

3,3

3,0

Scored

1,2

1,5

Conceded

2,1

1,6

Goal diff per game

-0,8

-0,1

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,84 xG 2,20

63% Possession 37%

12 Shots 21

2 Shots on target 7

6 Blocked shots 3

6 Goalkeeper saves 1

5 Corners 9

0 Offside 2

14 Free kicks against 10

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Varnamo 16. · Brommapojkarna 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Mjallby	26	19	6	1	+30	+5.1	63
2	Hammarby	27	17	4	6	+26	+18.4	55
3	GAIS	27	13	9	5	+14	+15.0	48
4	Malmo FF	27	12	9	6	+14	+14.5	45
5	AIK	27	12	8	7	+6	+7.1	44
6	Goteborg	26	14	2	10	+5	+2.4	44
7	Djurgarden	27	11	9	7	+14	+4.9	42
8	Elfsborg	26	11	4	11	+0	-1.9	37
9	Hacken	27	9	6	12	-7	+3.5	33
10	Sirius	27	8	6	13	-5	-0.9	30
11	Brommapojkarna	26	9	2	15	-3	-3.2	29
12	Norrkoping	27	8	5	14	-13	-12.0	29
13	Halmstad	26	8	4	14	-26	-12.8	28
14	Oster	26	6	7	13	-12	-14.7	25
15	Degerfors	26	6	5	15	-21	-6.6	23
16	Varnamo	26	3	6	17	-22	-18.8	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Hammarby	14	11	1	2	+21	+14.3	34
2	Mjallby	13	9	4	0	+15	+6.7	31
3	GAIS	14	8	3	3	+8	+10.9	27
4	AIK	13	7	5	1	+11	+5.4	26
5	Malmo FF	13	6	4	3	+8	+10.6	22
6	Djurgarden	13	5	6	2	+10	+5.3	21
7	Elfsborg	13	6	3	4	+5	+1.1	21
8	Goteborg	13	6	1	6	+3	+1.8	19
9	Sirius	13	5	2	6	+4	+2.0	17
10	Halmstad	13	5	2	6	-10	-5.6	17
11	Norrkoping	14	5	1	8	-7	-1.3	16
12	Hacken	14	4	3	7	-6	+5.7	15
13	Brommapojkarna	13	4	0	9	-5	-0.6	12
14	Oster	13	3	3	7	-5	-6.2	12
15	Varnamo	13	2	4	7	-9	-7.8	10
16	Degerfors	13	1	4	8	-14	-1.1	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Mjallby	13	10	2	1	+15	-1.6	32
2	Goteborg	13	8	1	4	+2	+0.6	25
3	Malmo FF	14	6	5	3	+6	+4.0	23
4	GAIS	13	5	6	2	+6	+4.1	21
5	Hammarby	13	6	3	4	+5	+4.1	21
6	Djurgarden	14	6	3	5	+4	-0.4	21
7	Hacken	13	5	3	5	-1	-2.2	18
8	AIK	14	5	3	6	-5	+1.8	18
9	Brommapojkarna	13	5	2	6	+2	-2.6	17
10	Elfsborg	13	5	1	7	-5	-3.0	16
11	Degerfors	13	5	1	7	-7	-5.6	16
12	Norrkoping	13	3	4	6	-6	-10.6	13
13	Oster	13	3	4	6	-7	-8.6	13
14	Sirius	14	3	4	7	-9	-3.0	13
15	Halmstad	13	3	2	8	-16	-7.2	11
16	Varnamo	13	1	2	10	-13	-11.0	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.