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Serie B
Referee: M Ferrieri Caputi
Lecco
T
0–2
Full-time
Brescia
U U T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lecco Brescia
Last 6 — all competitions · 1/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
0%
17%
Points per game
0,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
100%
17%
Both score Ø 75%
100%
50%
Average goals
7,0
2,0
Scored
3,0
0,8
Conceded
4,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-0,3
This season — Serie B · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
0%
100%
Points per game
0,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
100%
0%
Both score Ø 50%
100%
0%
Average goals
7,0
1,0
Scored
3,0
1,0
Conceded
4,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

60% Possession 40%
24 Shots 11
7 Shots on target 5
10 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 7
7 Corners 5
1 Offside 2
16 Free kicks against 19
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Venezia 5 3 2 0 +5 11
2 Catanzaro 4 3 1 0 +5 10
3 Parma 4 3 1 0 +5 10
4 Modena 3 3 0 0 +4 9
5 Palermo 3 2 1 0 +5 7
6 Sudtirol 3 2 1 0 +4 7
7 Bari 4 1 3 0 +1 6
8 Cremonese 4 1 2 1 +0 5
9 Cittadella 4 1 2 1 -1 5
10 Cosenza 4 1 1 2 +1 4
11 Sampdoria 4 1 1 2 -2 4
12 Como 3 1 1 1 -2 4
13 Pisa 3 1 0 2 -1 3
14 Ascoli 4 1 0 3 -3 3
15 Reggiana 4 0 2 2 -3 2
16 Ternana 4 0 1 3 -3 1
17 Spezia 4 0 1 3 -5 1
18 FeralpiSalo 4 0 0 4 -10 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Lecco Brescia
3′
⚽ G. Borrelli 0–1
A. Papetti
Matteo Battistini 🟨
17′
24′
🟨 Mohamed Fares
Giovanni Crociata 🟨
34′
Half-time 0–1
46′
🔁 M. Besaggio
↦ R. Fogliata
Luca Marrone 🟨
48′
G. Galli 🔁
↦ A. Sersanti
55′
J. Tenkorang 🔁
↦ L. Marrone
56′
63′
⚽ F. Bianchi 0–2
M. Tordini 🔁
↦ L. Di Stefano
64′
U. Eusepi 🔁
↦ G. Crociata
65′
71′
🔁 G. Olzer
↦ F. Paghera
71′
🔁 N. Galazzi
↦ M. Fares
D. Degli Innocenti 🔁
↦ A. Ioniţă
76′
76′
🔁 G. Moncini
↦ G. Borrelli
83′
🔁 D. Adorni
↦ M. Mangraviti
86′
🟨 Nicolas Galazzi
Umberto Eusepi ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
96′
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Lecco

3-5-2
1 R. Melgrati G
13 M. Battistini D
34 L. Marrone D
6 A. Bianconi D
7 L. Giudici M
8 A. Sersanti M
27 A. Ioniţă M
21 G. Crociata M
32 F. Lepore M
73 L. Di Stefano F
90 A. Novaković F
Bench (12)
96 G. Galli
16 J. Tenkorang
11 M. Tordini
9 U. Eusepi
5 D. Degli Innocenti
83 M. Lemmens
22 U. Saracco
68 B. Boci
18 L. Pinzauti
77 D. Mangni
80 V. Agostinelli
17 A. Caporale

Coach: L. Foschi

Brescia

3-4-1-2
1 L. Lezzerini G
32 A. Papetti D
15 A. Cistana D
14 M. Mangraviti D
24 L. Dickmann M
21 R. Fogliata M
4 F. Paghera M
6 M. Fares M
7 B. Bjarnason F
9 F. Bianchi F
29 G. Borrelli F
Bench (10)
39 M. Besaggio
27 G. Olzer
23 N. Galazzi
11 G. Moncini
28 D. Adorni
25 D. Bisoli
16 C. Riviera
8 E. Ndoj
22 L. Andrenacci
20 P. Nuamah

Coach: D. Gastaldello

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,77
🔒
U
3,16
🔒
B ✓
2,59
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
2,16
🔒
U2,5 ✓
1,67
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

M Ferrieri Caputi · 46 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
28,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,11 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.