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Serie B
Referee: D Ghersini
Cosenza
T U S T S
3–0
Full-time
Lecco
T T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cosenza Lecco
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/5 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,2
0,2
Over 2.5 Ø 64%
67%
60%
Both score Ø 64%
67%
60%
Average goals
2,5
3,0
Scored
1,2
1,0
Conceded
1,3
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-1,0
This season — Serie B · 8/5 matches
Win Ø 19%
38%
0%
Points per game
1,4
0,2
Over 2.5 Ø 62%
63%
60%
Both score Ø 62%
63%
60%
Average goals
2,5
3,0
Scored
1,4
1,0
Conceded
1,1
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

56% Possession 44%
22 Shots 15
8 Shots on target 6
2 Blocked shots 4
6 Goalkeeper saves 5
4 Corners 3
1 Offside 0
11 Free kicks against 7
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Cosenza 8. · Lecco 20.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Parma 8 6 2 0 +12 20
2 Palermo 7 5 1 1 +8 16
3 Venezia 8 4 3 1 +5 15
4 Catanzaro 8 4 3 1 +1 15
5 Como 7 4 2 1 +3 14
6 Modena 7 3 3 1 +2 12
7 Cittadella 8 3 3 2 -2 12
8 Cosenza 8 3 2 3 +2 11
9 Sudtirol 7 2 4 1 +3 10
10 Brescia 6 2 4 0 +3 10
11 Cremonese 8 2 4 2 +0 10
12 Bari 8 1 6 1 +0 9
13 Pisa 7 2 2 3 -1 8
14 Ascoli 8 2 2 4 -2 8
15 Reggiana 8 1 4 3 -5 7
16 Ternana 8 1 2 5 -3 5
17 Sampdoria 8 1 2 5 -5 5
18 Spezia 7 1 2 4 -5 5
19 FeralpiSalo 9 1 2 6 -11 5
20 Lecco 5 0 1 4 -5 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Cosenza Lecco
1–0 F. Forte
G. Calò
4′
Mateusz Praszelik 🟨
22′
2–0 M. Marras
G. Tutino
25′
Tommaso D'Orazio 🟨
39′
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 M. Lemmens
↦ V. Celjak
46′
🔁 M. Tordini
↦ D. Degli Innocenti
3–0 F. Forte
G. Calò
50′
58′
🔁 G. Crociata
↦ D. Guglielmotti
L. Canotto 🔁
↦ S. Mazzocchi
62′
A. Fontanarosa 🔁
↦ T. DOrazio
63′
I. Voca 🔁
↦ M. Praszelik
63′
63′
🔁 U. Eusepi
↦ N. Buso
68′
🟨 Giovanni Crociata
A. Florenzi 🔁
↦ F. Forte
68′
73′
🔁 L. Giudici
↦ A. Sersanti
74′
🟨 Alessandro Caporale
A. Rispoli 🔁
↦ B. Cimino
81′
95′
🟨 Mattia Tordini
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Cosenza

4-2-3-1
1 A. Micai G
17 B. Cimino D
13 A. Meroni D
23 M. Venturi D
11 T. D'Orazio D
26 M. Praszelik M
14 G. Calò M
7 M. Marras M
9 G. Tutino M
30 S. Mazzocchi M
10 F. Forte F
Bench (12)
31 L. Canotto
6 A. Fontanarosa
42 I. Voca
34 A. Florenzi
3 A. Rispoli
24 M. Viviani
20 A. Arioli
19 V. Crespi
2 F. Sgarbi
27 P. Martino
77 L. Marson
21 M. Zilli

Coach: F. Caserta

Lecco

3-5-2
22 U. Saracco G
2 V. Celjak D
13 M. Battistini D
17 A. Caporale D
44 D. Guglielmotti M
8 A. Sersanti M
5 D. Degli Innocenti M
27 A. Ioniţă M
32 F. Lepore M
90 A. Novaković F
99 N. Buso F
Bench (12)
83 M. Lemmens
11 M. Tordini
21 G. Crociata
9 U. Eusepi
7 L. Giudici
12 L. Bonadeo
6 A. Bianconi
73 L. Di Stefano
18 L. Pinzauti
34 L. Marrone
16 J. Tenkorang
68 B. Boci

Coach: L. Foschi

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,75
U
3,50
B
4,86
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,06
U2,5
1,74
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

D Ghersini · 64 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,3 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,11 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.