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Serie B

Referee: G Collu

Ascoli

T T U S U

1–1

Full-time

Sampdoria

U T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ascoli Sampdoria

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

1,3

0,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

50%

83%

Average goals

2,7

2,3

Scored

1,5

0,8

Conceded

1,2

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Serie B · 8/8 matches

Win Ø 19%

25%

13%

Points per game

1,0

0,6

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 57%

38%

75%

Average goals

2,5

2,4

Scored

1,1

0,9

Conceded

1,4

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

48% Possession 52%

14 Shots 12

4 Shots on target 4

2 Blocked shots 4

3 Goalkeeper saves 3

6 Corners 1

2 Offside 1

20 Free kicks against 14

2 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ascoli 14. · Sampdoria 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Parma	8	6	2	0	+12	20
2	Palermo	8	6	1	1	+10	19
3	Catanzaro	9	5	3	1	+2	18
4	Venezia	8	4	3	1	+5	15
5	Cosenza	9	4	2	3	+5	14
6	Como	7	4	2	1	+3	14
7	Modena	8	3	3	2	+0	12
8	Cittadella	8	3	3	2	-2	12
9	Brescia	6	2	4	0	+3	10
10	Sudtirol	8	2	4	2	+2	10
11	Cremonese	8	2	4	2	+0	10
12	Bari	9	1	7	1	+0	10
13	Pisa	7	2	2	3	-1	8
14	Ascoli	8	2	2	4	-2	8
15	Reggiana	9	1	5	3	-5	8
16	Ternana	8	1	2	5	-3	5
17	Sampdoria	8	1	2	5	-5	5
18	Spezia	7	1	2	4	-5	5
19	FeralpiSalo	9	1	2	6	-11	5
20	Lecco	6	0	1	5	-8	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Parma	5	3	2	0	+5	11
2	Cosenza	5	2	1	2	+4	7
3	Venezia	4	2	1	1	+2	7
4	Como	3	2	1	0	+2	7
5	Catanzaro	4	2	1	1	-1	7
6	Modena	5	2	1	2	-1	7
7	Cittadella	4	2	1	1	-1	7
8	Ascoli	3	2	0	1	+4	6
9	Palermo	3	2	0	1	+3	6
10	Brescia	4	1	3	0	+1	6
11	Sudtirol	4	1	2	1	+1	5
12	Ternana	5	1	2	2	+1	5
13	Bari	4	0	4	0	+0	4
14	Cremonese	5	0	3	2	-2	3
15	Reggiana	4	0	3	1	-2	3
16	Pisa	3	0	1	2	-2	1
17	Spezia	3	0	1	2	-2	1
18	FeralpiSalo	4	0	1	3	-4	1
19	Lecco	3	0	0	3	-4	0
20	Sampdoria	4	0	0	4	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Palermo	5	4	1	0	+7	13
2	Catanzaro	5	3	2	0	+3	11
3	Parma	3	3	0	0	+7	9
4	Venezia	4	2	2	0	+3	8
5	Cremonese	3	2	1	0	+2	7
6	Como	4	2	1	1	+1	7
7	Cosenza	4	2	1	1	+1	7
8	Pisa	4	2	1	1	+1	7
9	Bari	5	1	3	1	+0	6
10	Sudtirol	4	1	2	1	+1	5
11	Modena	3	1	2	0	+1	5
12	Sampdoria	4	1	2	1	+0	5
13	Cittadella	4	1	2	1	-1	5
14	Reggiana	5	1	2	2	-3	5
15	Brescia	2	1	1	0	+2	4
16	Spezia	4	1	1	2	-3	4
17	FeralpiSalo	5	1	1	3	-7	4
18	Ascoli	5	0	2	3	-6	2
19	Lecco	3	0	1	2	-4	1
20	Ternana	3	0	0	3	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.