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Serie B

Referee: M Volpi

Cittadella

U U S T U

2–1

Full-time

Lecco

T T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cittadella Lecco

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/4 matches

Win Ø 9%

17%

Points per game

1,0

0,3

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,0

3,0

Scored

0,7

1,0

Conceded

1,3

2,0

Goal diff per game

-0,7

-1,0

This season — Serie B · 7/4 matches

Win Ø 15%

29%

Points per game

1,3

0,3

Over 2.5 Ø 40%

29%

50%

Both score Ø 47%

43%

50%

Average goals

1,9

3,0

Scored

0,7

1,0

Conceded

1,1

2,0

Goal diff per game

-0,4

-1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

67% Possession 33%

15 Shots 16

5 Shots on target 6

3 Blocked shots 1

5 Goalkeeper saves 3

4 Corners 5

2 Offside 0

26 Free kicks against 10

4 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Cittadella 11. · Lecco 20. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Parma	7	5	2	0	+11	17
2	Venezia	8	4	3	1	+5	15
3	Palermo	6	4	1	1	+7	13
4	Como	6	4	1	1	+3	13
5	Modena	7	3	3	1	+2	12
6	Catanzaro	7	3	3	1	+0	12
7	Cosenza	8	3	2	3	+2	11
8	Sudtirol	6	2	4	0	+4	10
9	Cremonese	7	2	4	1	+1	10
10	Brescia	5	2	3	0	+3	9
11	Cittadella	7	2	3	2	-3	9
12	Bari	7	1	5	1	+0	8
13	Pisa	7	2	2	3	-1	8
14	Ascoli	8	2	2	4	-2	8
15	Reggiana	8	1	4	3	-5	7
16	Ternana	8	1	2	5	-3	5
17	Sampdoria	7	1	2	4	-4	5
18	Spezia	7	1	2	4	-5	5
19	FeralpiSalo	8	1	1	6	-11	4
20	Lecco	4	0	1	3	-4	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Parma	5	3	2	0	+5	11
2	Venezia	4	2	1	1	+2	7
3	Como	3	2	1	0	+2	7
4	Modena	4	2	1	1	+1	7
5	Catanzaro	4	2	1	1	-1	7
6	Ascoli	3	2	0	1	+4	6
7	Sudtirol	3	1	2	0	+2	5
8	Ternana	5	1	2	2	+1	5
9	Brescia	3	1	2	0	+1	5
10	Cosenza	4	1	1	2	+1	4
11	Cittadella	3	1	1	1	-2	4
12	Palermo	2	1	0	1	+2	3
13	Bari	3	0	3	0	+0	3
14	Cremonese	4	0	3	1	-1	3
15	Reggiana	3	0	2	1	-2	2
16	Pisa	3	0	1	2	-2	1
17	Spezia	3	0	1	2	-2	1
18	FeralpiSalo	4	0	1	3	-4	1
19	Lecco	3	0	0	3	-4	0
20	Sampdoria	3	0	0	3	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Palermo	4	3	1	0	+5	10
2	Venezia	4	2	2	0	+3	8
3	Cremonese	3	2	1	0	+2	7
4	Cosenza	4	2	1	1	+1	7
5	Pisa	4	2	1	1	+1	7
6	Parma	2	2	0	0	+6	6
7	Como	3	2	0	1	+1	6
8	Sudtirol	3	1	2	0	+2	5
9	Catanzaro	3	1	2	0	+1	5
10	Modena	3	1	2	0	+1	5
11	Sampdoria	4	1	2	1	+0	5
12	Bari	4	1	2	1	+0	5
13	Cittadella	4	1	2	1	-1	5
14	Reggiana	5	1	2	2	-3	5
15	Brescia	2	1	1	0	+2	4
16	Spezia	4	1	1	2	-3	4
17	FeralpiSalo	4	1	0	3	-7	3
18	Ascoli	5	0	2	3	-6	2
19	Lecco	1	0	1	0	+0	1
20	Ternana	3	0	0	3	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.