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Serie B
Referee: M Volpi
Cremonese
U T S U U
2–2
Full-time
Ascoli
T T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cremonese Ascoli
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,5
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,0
2,7
Scored
1,2
0,8
Conceded
0,8
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Serie B · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 20%
20%
20%
Points per game
1,2
0,6
Over 2.5 Ø 40%
20%
60%
Both score Ø 30%
40%
20%
Average goals
1,6
2,4
Scored
0,8
0,8
Conceded
0,8
1,6
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

62% Possession 38%
13 Shots 17
4 Shots on target 8
4 Blocked shots 3
6 Goalkeeper saves 2
6 Corners 5
1 Offside 1
16 Free kicks against 11
3 Yellow cards 4
1 Red cards 1
The table before the match Cremonese 11. · Ascoli 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Parma 5 4 1 0 +10 13
2 Venezia 5 3 2 0 +5 11
3 Palermo 5 3 1 1 +5 10
4 Modena 4 3 1 0 +4 10
5 Catanzaro 5 3 1 1 +0 10
6 Sudtirol 4 2 2 0 +4 8
7 Cosenza 6 2 2 2 +2 8
8 Cittadella 5 2 2 1 +0 8
9 Bari 5 1 4 0 +1 7
10 Como 4 2 1 1 -1 7
11 Cremonese 5 1 3 1 +0 6
12 Pisa 4 1 1 2 -1 4
13 Sampdoria 5 1 1 3 -3 4
14 Reggiana 5 0 3 2 -3 3
15 Ascoli 5 1 0 4 -4 3
16 Ternana 5 0 1 4 -4 1
17 Spezia 4 0 1 3 -5 1
18 FeralpiSalo 5 0 1 4 -10 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Cremonese Ascoli
Matteo Bianchetti 🟨
4′
11′
🟨 Giuseppe Bellusci
1–0 M. Coda
F. Vázquez
14′
25′
G. Manzari 1–1
Giacomo Quagliata 🟨
44′
Half-time 2–1
2–1 M. Coda
F. Vázquez
60′
D. Okereke 🔁
↦ C. Buonaiuto
61′
Giacomo Quagliata 🟨
64′
Giacomo Quagliata 🟥
64′
65′
🔁 S. D'Uffizi
↦ T. Milanese
65′
🔁 Pablo Rodríguez
↦ I. Nestorovski
P. Ghiglione 🔁
↦ L. Zanimacchia
70′
C. Pickel 🔁
↦ F. Vázquez
71′
71′
🔁 F. Caligara
↦ S. Giovane
71′
🔁 N. Falasco
↦ E. Gnahoré
73′
🟨 Brian Bayeye
Ž. Majer 🔁
↦ M. Castagnetti
80′
F. Tsadjout 🔁
↦ M. Coda
80′
85′
🔁 M. Falzerano
↦ B. Bayeye
88′
Pablo Rodríguez 2–2
92′
🟨 Fabrizio Caligara
95′
🟨 Giuseppe Bellusci
95′
🟥 Giuseppe Bellusci
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Cremonese

5-3-2
1 M. Sarr G
98 L. Zanimacchia D
26 V. Antov D
15 M. Bianchetti D
44 L. Lochoshvili D
33 G. Quagliata D
8 M. Collocolo M
19 M. Castagnetti M
10 C. Buonaiuto M
20 F. Vázquez F
90 M. Coda F
Bench (12)
77 D. Okereke
18 P. Ghiglione
6 C. Pickel
37 Ž. Majer
74 F. Tsadjout
91 A. Bertolacci
22 A. Jungdal
31 Y. Rocchetti
9 D. Ciofani
32 G. Abrego
5 L. Ravanelli
7 N. Sekulov

Coach: G. Stroppa

Ascoli

4-3-2-1
2 E. Viviano G
40 B. Bayeye D
33 Eric Botteghin D
55 G. Bellusci D
8 S. Giovane D
5 E. Gnahoré M
18 F. Di Tacchio M
20 T. Milanese M
28 G. Manzari M
90 Pedro Mendes M
30 I. Nestorovski F
Bench (12)
15 S. D'Uffizi
99 Pablo Rodríguez
10 F. Caligara
54 N. Falasco
23 M. Falzerano
6 E. Kraja
73 P. Masini
7 V. Millico
12 L. Bolletta
14 D. Quaranta
3 K. Haveri
1 D. Barosi

Coach: W. Viali

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,69
U ✓
3,65
B
5,10
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,09
U2,5
1,72
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Volpi · 41 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
31,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.